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So here is the betting method I use in hockey that I will try out in baseball.
I will set aside $2000 for betting this and will make my starting bet at $20.
Basically it is betting on teams that are favorites to win the game. However, this method revolves on betting on that team using the -1.5 runs line. However, only bet when the difference between the line on them winning the game and them covering the -1.5 spread compared to to the base of -100 is a difference of 250 or more. For example lets say you have the following lines on the first day of the regular season:
TEAM Game Run Line
1) Chi WS -130 -1.5 +220
2) Minn. -160 -1.5 +180
3) Seattle -140 -1.5 +200
4) Texas -115 -1.5 +240
For the first game the spread difference is 250, second game is 240, third game is 240 and fourth game is 255. Thus we would place $20 bets on Chicago White Sox at -1.5 +220 and on Texas at -1.5 +240.
After the bets are decided for the day tally up your total profit / loss.
Profits Notes: If you are at the initial betting level ($20) and you made a profit on the day, stay on the same level when betting the next day. If you are at the second betting level ($22) and you made a profit totalling more than that level (profit of $22 or more) drop down a level. If the profit is between $0 and $21.99 stay at the same level. If you are at the third betting level ($24+) or above and you made a profit totalling more than twice that level (profit of $48+) drop down two levels. If the profit was under $48, stay on the same level until such time that the accumulated profit at that level equals $48 or more. Once that happens, drop down two levels.
Losses Notes: If you had a loss that totals more that twice the betting size of the bet you made that day move up to the next betting level. If you had a loss that totals under twice the betting size of the bet you made that day stay at the same level. However, once you have an accumulated loss (over two or more days) that totals more than twice the betting size of the bet you made you move up to the next betting level.
Betting levels when starting at the $20 level:
1) $20, 2) $22, 3) $24, 4) $26, 5) $28, 6) $30
7) $33, 8) $36, 9) $39, 10) $42, 11) $45
12) $49, 13) $53, 14) $57, 15) $61, 16) $65
17) $70, 18) $75, 19) $80, 20) $85, 21) $90
I realize the above is confusing. Once the season starts I will go over the actual bets I make so you can follow this system.
This betting style has worked for me in hockey. I like this for hockey because you are always betting on the favorite to win the game though they have to win by 2. Moderate favorites (ie. -130 to -150) only have to win by 2 goals once in three(+) games for you to show a profit and big favorites (ie. -200 to 250) only have to win by 2 goals once in two(+) games for you to show a profit. With hockey you get enough instances during the course of a season where the team you bet on is leading by a goal late in the game, the other team pulls their goalie and then your team scores to win by 2. Obviously in baseball that can't happen plus your team also will be denied being able to bat in the ninth when at home and leading by just one run. I will try this out for the first month of the baseball season and see how it plays out.
Later, HockeyBoy
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Betting Baseball - Method I use has worked in the past.
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Originally Posted by Taxi
