Quote Originally Posted by pm
Agree or Disagree?

The most conservative approach I can think of with 100.00 -

5 on the pass 10-15 behind it only when the point is 6 or 8 .

Thoughts?
No reason to make this a pm. Since we (at the very least) have a small group of craps fans might as well continue discussion.

I have some code written but I won't have time to run simulations today. I'll run some simulations. Are we trying to minimize variance to gain the most amount of playing time without hurting the eV too much?

Odds of hitting 4 or T are 2:1, so 33%. Odds of missing 6 in a row (because 6x($5 + $10) = $90) is 0.66^6 = 8% which is decently high, thus an argument against placing odds on a 4 or T. However, there is a big jump in eV when adding odds so I think you have to put at least 1x odds on 4, 5, 9, T. Putting 3x odds on anything will greatly increase your chance of busto.

So my guess at a conservative strategy is 1x odds on 4, 5, 9, T and 2x on 6,8. Don't place any come bets.

I'm "working" on a BJ post. I put working in quotes because I'm not currently working on it and I need to finish it. After I do maybe I'll throw together a craps post so people can know how long their stack will last playing with 3x odds, or 3x odds and 3 come bets, etc.