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01-21-2018 10:25 PM
#1
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01-21-2018 10:28 PM
#2
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"Good? You're not good. Me? I always tell the truth. Even when I lie." |
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01-21-2018 10:30 PM
#3
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"Last time you're gonna see a bad guy like this again." |
Last edited by wufwugy; 01-21-2018 at 10:39 PM. | |
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01-21-2018 10:34 PM
#4
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"What a bunch of fucking assholes." |
Last edited by wufwugy; 01-21-2018 at 10:38 PM. | |
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01-21-2018 10:27 PM
#5
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Man I love that as an partial explanation for and about Trump (and the audience that points the finger). It's not a full explanation, as there are some very important differences. But I think there really is something to the Bad Guy/Scarface/Trump dynamic. |
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01-21-2018 11:21 PM
#6
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Yeah plus they lost. | |
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01-22-2018 09:32 AM
#7
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http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/21/opinio...art/index.html |
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01-22-2018 01:57 PM
#8
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So, the Democrats folded and the shutdown is over less than halfway through it's first business day. #winning #MAGA. |
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01-22-2018 02:00 PM
#9
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01-22-2018 02:13 PM
#10
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#winning #maga | |
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01-22-2018 03:32 PM
#11
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http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018...ce-abuses.html |
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01-22-2018 07:52 PM
#12
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It's a pipe dream, but I'd like to see Obama locked the fuck up over some of this shit. | |
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01-22-2018 08:00 PM
#13
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I'm not so sure it's a pipe dream anymore. |
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01-22-2018 08:31 PM
#14
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01-22-2018 09:30 PM
#15
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Politicians expressing shocked outrage over hidden information is not indicative of anything at all. | |
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01-22-2018 09:39 PM
#16
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Well, with the un-hidden information, it's pretty easy to infer what the memo is likely to say. |
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01-22-2018 09:42 PM
#17
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Kim Dotcom, Hannity, others, they have teased major bombshells a bunch in the past. A big fat zero percent of them have been anything other old lady queef. |
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01-22-2018 09:44 PM
#18
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01-22-2018 09:47 PM
#19
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01-22-2018 09:41 PM
#20
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I tend to agree. |
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01-22-2018 10:20 PM
#21
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Maybe the memo proves that Obama intentionally pinned the Russia stuff on Trump just to fuck him up. And when the memo is released, Mueller's little project comes to a screeching halt. |
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02-03-2018 01:12 PM
#22
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Who do ya think Pence will make his running mate in 2024? I'm going with Nikki Haley. |
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02-03-2018 01:22 PM
#23
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I'm pro-Nikki Haley myself. | |
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02-03-2018 01:36 PM
#24
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How come? |
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02-03-2018 02:39 PM
#25
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She's hot for an old chick, she's from the Carolinas and she talks shit. | |
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02-04-2018 12:42 PM
#26
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All I want for Christmas is Obama on trial for his crimes. |
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02-05-2018 03:45 PM
#27
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02-07-2018 02:14 PM
#28
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02-07-2018 04:18 PM
#29
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Hey, some bait I don't mind taking! | |
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02-07-2018 04:32 PM
#30
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If Congress could have done it themselves, they would have done it before he was in office. I know that you can't understand that because you're a part of the same cisgender heteronormative patriarchal power structures, which blinds you to how things really work when people like Barack Obama makes sweeping changes to actually help people. | |
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02-16-2018 05:36 PM
#31
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02-16-2018 09:08 PM
#32
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Telling when Spoon is trolling is easy. All ya gotta do is not assume he's mean-hearted and stupid. |
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02-16-2018 09:29 PM
#33
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02-16-2018 09:32 PM
#34
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What do you mean? |
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03-12-2018 03:25 PM
#35
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http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018...-election.html |
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03-12-2018 03:50 PM
#36
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Has Trump said anything about Kamala Harris? |
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03-12-2018 04:00 PM
#37
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A quick google search only turns up instances of Harris trolling Trump. |
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03-12-2018 04:19 PM
#38
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03-12-2018 04:28 PM
#39
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Trump could fuck that up though. He's pretty much dared Sessions to take down sanctuary city policies. And Sessions doesn't seem to have much else on his plate. So if he is successful in getting a federal circuit and/or supreme court to declare sanctuary cities illegal (which they most certainly are), then that kinda takes all the bite out of any debate on the issue. |
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03-12-2018 04:34 PM
#40
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Could be that the Democrats would go on offense in favor of sanctuary cities in that case. Which might be even worse for them. |
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03-12-2018 04:30 PM
#41
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They can't win with it in the short run, but in the long run maybe they can. They may be trying to indoctrinate Latinos and make a permanent voting bloc that gives them Florida and eventually Texas. There are several problems with this strategy, but the Dems probably don't see the problems and instead think they can achieve as much success here as they have with blacks. |
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03-12-2018 04:32 PM
#42
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that is most definitely what they are doing. |
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03-12-2018 04:18 PM
#43
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Surely if the Dems campaign for the removal of the agency that enforces immigration laws, they are committing electorial suicide? That can only appeal to the hard left. | |
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03-12-2018 04:25 PM
#44
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03-12-2018 04:30 PM
#45
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03-12-2018 04:43 PM
#46
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Many don't care in part because they don't know. |
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03-12-2018 06:30 PM
#47
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Local politics are local. |
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03-12-2018 06:38 PM
#48
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You'd think if they loved Trump as much as you guys they'd be willing to vote in any R candidate just to show their love. | |
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03-12-2018 07:00 PM
#49
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03-12-2018 09:21 PM
#50
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03-12-2018 09:32 PM
#51
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03-12-2018 06:45 PM
#52
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Given that a pretty bad R is remarkably better than the best D, If I were in the situation to vote between them, I would probably.....abstain. |
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03-12-2018 06:52 PM
#53
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Statistics question: let's say a poll gives somebody a 48% approval rating with a 3 point margin of error. Does this mean that the actual result is anywhere between 51% and 45% at the same probability per each value? |
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03-12-2018 09:20 PM
#54
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There's a likelihood function that is symmetrical and normal-distribution-shaped for normal samples. So if the sampling data are normally distributed, the likelihood is highest around the reported value (48% in this case) and tapers off above and below it in a normal distribution shape. So, e.g., 48% is the most likely value of the approval rating, 47% and 49% are less likely but equal to each other, and so on as you fall further from the mean. | |
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03-12-2018 09:29 PM
#55
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03-14-2018 02:13 PM
#56
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"hill of dogshit" | |
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03-14-2018 02:36 PM
#57
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Special elections first year after Obama 2008 win: | |
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03-14-2018 02:59 PM
#58
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It would be one thing if you were just ignorant. But I know you know a thing or two about stats, so the only explanation for your conclusion is a deeply rooted partisan bias and an outright refusal to entertain a thought that challenges your chosen ideology. |
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03-14-2018 03:32 PM
#59
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But you've repeatedly proven that you don't know a thing, never mind a thing or two, about stats. Which makes it hard to understand why you think you can criticize the facts. I mean I know you have no qualms with doing it, you do it all the time. But it's just amusing you keep trying to do it when you're arguing with someone who actually has a clue about these things and can step on you like an ant. | |
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03-14-2018 03:54 PM
#60
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Cherry picked results used to form a biased presentation does not constitute a fact |
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03-14-2018 03:12 PM
#61
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Special elections first year after Bush 2 2000 win: | |
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03-14-2018 03:07 PM
#62
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Also....your numbers seem completely fake. |
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03-14-2018 03:15 PM
#63
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03-14-2018 03:28 PM
#64
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I know exactly what you're talking about. the Politico story you linked cited that the PA-18 district was won by Trump in 2016 by a 20% margin. And then, Politico compared that to a congressional election a year later where the candidate from Trump's party was polling 6% behind his opponent. Hence 26% swing. |
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03-14-2018 03:42 PM
#65
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The rest of this post proves otherwise. | |
Last edited by Poopadoop; 03-14-2018 at 03:47 PM. | |
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03-14-2018 08:14 PM
#66
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The shortcoming of the above analysis is it doesn't take into account the size of the effect in each sample. When these are close to zero, it would not be prudent to test them based on their sign alone. | |
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03-14-2018 08:45 PM
#67
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Scott Brown won by 5%. His predecessor won by 40%. Swing R +45%. |
Last edited by BananaStand; 03-14-2018 at 08:47 PM. | |
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03-14-2018 08:54 PM
#68
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03-14-2018 08:57 PM
#69
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03-15-2018 06:37 AM
#70
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I didn't forget to include anything. The topic was a congressional special election, so naturally I analysed all the congressional special elections. The one example you keep referring to was a senate S.E. | |
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03-14-2018 08:59 PM
#71
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03-15-2018 06:39 AM
#72
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03-15-2018 10:41 AM
#73
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Trump is boycotting Oreos. So that means banana should boycott them too, poop should eat them more, and you should argue about it here. | |
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03-15-2018 10:56 AM
#74
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03-15-2018 01:22 PM
#75
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I agree with the sentiment. I did already leave for a few weeks some weeks ago, though I'm sure no one noticed. Decided to give it another stab, but have to admit nanner peeing over all discussions seems to bring out the worst in me. I'm too old for this shit, I don't need to be boosting my ego here trolling. | |
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