Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
Seems the polls were wrong......AGAIN.
Seems like you don't understand basic statistical concepts like measurement error - again.

Alternatively, you think a 20% swing is a lot different than a 26% swing.

So let me make it simple for you. Regardless of who wins:

20% swing.


Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
Lamb's win is tantamount to a rejection of Trump. Except Lamb is pro-gun, pro-tariff, and anti-Pelosi.
Just a coincidence that Trump won that county by 20% in 2016, and now his approval/disapproval is around 50/50, and the special election is about 50/50.

Just a coincidence that the same blue wave has been showing up in every special election/governor election since Trump became president.

What are the odds of these things happening by chance alone? Can you do the math on that? I mean I know you can't, so just take that as a rhetorical question.