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ensign_lee's NCAA Bowls
Before I start, let me tell you that I have done horribly in NCAA football this year. I did all the stuff 'off the board', and got completely dominated. I think I lost more than half my profits in the NFL trying to master NCAA football.
But I'm willing to give it one more shot before I give up on it completely. Here goes... ?
I'm starting off tailing a handicapper that I respect:
Texas A&M +5 (-110)
3 units at Skybook
Texas A&M Moneyline (+180)
2 units at Nine
I'm sure BigSpenda likes this bet. 
For the rest of the bowl season, I'm going to be taking dogs of +7 or more if the public is heavy on the other side and especially if the dog 'has more to play for.'
This is an angle developed by another handicapper. It basically goes that strong teams that are favored because of their talent level that go to a 'crappy bowl game' will be unmotivated and thus will get beaten (and obviously not cover) by a weaker, but much more motivated team. I mean, if your team was contending for a national championship at the start of the year, but later was invited to the 'insert crappy name' bowl instead because you were out of contention, just how hard would you practice?
I'll be taking the dogs on the spread and on the moneyline. I think the spread factors into NCAA football games more than other games, but I think these underdogs will still warrant a moneyline play.
For how I will weight the units for my plays, here ya go. This assumes that the bet qualified already (and is already a 1 unit play on both the spread and moneyline):
Respected Handicapper posts as a play: Add 1 unit to spread
Public is opposite the bet at 70+%: Add 1 unit to Spread
Pinny Lean: Add 1 unit to spread
Pinny has the worst moneyline price on the underdog of most 'common' books: Add 1 unit to moneyline
Reverse Line Movement: For every half point of reverse line movement, either add 1 unit to spread or 1/2 unit to moneyline (my discretion)
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