ensign_lee's Quest to be Better Than a Coinflip Week 16! YTD: 101-126-4, +36.75 units

[ensign_lee]

YTD: 101-126-4
Units Won: +36.75

Ooof, been a rough couple weeks. Looks like I've given up half my profits for the season in the last few weeks. I might be a pretty good fade right now.

Anyway, Thursday night game, here we go:

Straddle:

Pittsburgh -14, OVER 37 (+273)
Risking 2.7 units

Pittsburgh -8.5, OVER 19.5 (+260)
Risking 2.7 units

Going to take a bit of a risk and forgo the Panthers side of this. Hopefully, this is a good decision...eeep.

[ensign_lee]

Man, Jeff Fox's decision to kick that FG down 27-0 REALLY kicked my ass. WHYYY?

ugh...

Pittsburgh -6.5 (-117)
To win 6.844 units.

They were up by 20, which is > 14 so...

puuuuuke.

[ensign_lee]

Allrighty, taking another straddle:

Minnesota +14, UNDER 39 (+260)
Risking 2.8 units

Minnesota +8.5, UNDER 19.5 (+250)
Risking 2.8 units

Philadelphia -8.5, OVER 19.5 (+281)
Risking 2.8 units

Going to wait on the last leg of this since the total and line keep dropping. I'm contemplating even not doing it altogether, but prob not.

And, my biggest play of the week:
Texans -2.5 (-104)
6 units at Matchbook

The Texans are good vs two things: bad teams, and bad QBs. Hopefully Tebow isn't seasoned enough yet to pass effectively enough vs. our defense. And our offense, even with out AJ (he's out today) is still pretty friggin' awesome. My team has let me down a lot this year, and I've bet against them large in a few spots (Chargers, Titans last week), but I think this is a great spot for them. Our player's haven't quit on Kubiak in any of the previous season where we were basically out of the race, and I'm hoping that doesn't happen today either.

Patriots -7 (-110)
2 units at BetTrojan

Patriots? Snow? vs. a divisional rival they prob won't be taking lightly? I'll take Tom Brady and Belichick vs the Fitzpatrick and Chan Gailey.

[ensign_lee]

Also, rolling with Ace-Ace on these two:

KC -3.5 (-108)
1 unit at Matchbook

BAL -3.5 (+106)
1 unit at Matchbook

[ensign_lee]

Holy crap on the Indy/Oakland line. Everyone betting on Indy (2:1 bet ratio) and the line goes from 3 to 1?

Hopefully this isn't some sort of stupid pump fake.

Oakland M /L (+110)
5 units at Matchbook

[ensign_lee]

Oh, sonofabitch. Eagles/Vikings game postponed to TUESDAY. Okay, guess those bets are cancelled lol.

[ensign_lee]

Allright, headed out until the Texans game.

As always, will blindly be taking any team up 14+ . Will be a wager amount of 6.45 units if it happens.

[ensign_lee]

Taking the Seahawks M/L at (+220)
2 untis at Matchbook

People betting on tampa, but the line goes from 6 to 5.5? Okey dokey.

Also, to sum up my halftime plays while I was away,

NE -.5 (-125)
To win 6.45 units at theGreek

KC +.5 (-110)
To win 6.45 units at Matchbook

[ensign_lee]

Oh, line's actually moving to 4.5 now, adding 4 units to my position.

[ensign_lee]

Adding Houston +.5 (-125)
to win 6.45 units at theGreek