ensign_lee's quest to be better than a coinflip! Week 7 YTD: 38-43-1 , +33.5 units

[ensign_lee]

Hey y'all,

I'll have to be quick today:

Carolina Panthers M/L (+132)
4 units at Matchbook

Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-115)
2 units at BetPhoenix

Reverse line movement from 3 to 2.5 with most bets coming on San Francisco, plus the west coast traveling to east coast at 12:00 angle.

Philadelphia Eagles M/L (+138)
1 unit at Matchbook

Also, teasing the above two games

3 team 6 point open teaser (+180)
2 units at theGreek
Eagles +9
Panthers +9
open

Honestly, I'm kind of tempted to simply take every over today, since that new rule I think is going to impact game totals by at least 3 ppg, either via direct penalties (and subsequent extensions of drives) or with players on the defense hesitating that extra half a second which gives up extra yards to the offense. But...I'm not feeling all that lucky today, so I prob won't.

[ensign_lee]

I'm still trying to get the best line on Carolina. May have to settle for something worse. I'll keep y'all posted.

[ensign_lee]

Addin 4 units to my panthers play because of the line movement to 1

[ensign_lee]

San Diego -2.5 (-104)
2 units at Matchbook

[ensign_lee]

Man, that was a crazy halftime. Had a possible 4 teams going into halftime with 14 point leads, but that ended up getting cut by two.

Unfortunately, looks like I'll be losing money on those plays.

Atlanta Falcons +.5 (-121)
To win 6 units between Skybook and Heritage (L)

Cleveland Browns +7.5 (-105)
To win 6 units at BetPhoenix. (W)

And Straddle:

Cleveland +7.5, UNDER 21.5
Risk 3.24 units (L)

New Orleans -7, OVER 21.5
Risk 3.24 Units (L)

Damn. Oh well.

[ensign_lee]

Adding Denver Broncos +7

They're certainly up by at least 14.

Also, another 2nd half straddle opportunity.

Broncos -7, OVER 17.5

Raiders +7, UNDER 17.5

[ensign_lee]

So looking through my bet history looks like I got my offer on San Diego -3 (2nd Half) accepted and didn't notice. So woohoo 2 units found.

That being said, up and down day. Straddles really let me down. Oof. I guess I should by happy that I ended up about even. Technically, -.75 units, but close enough.

[ensign_lee]

Also, just a funny note, looks like I was on the right track with the whole "bet every over" thing I was contemplating this morning. 9-4, WOW.

Though I did mention I felt unlucky, and my actual bets didn't turn out as well. Perhaps if I had actually bet on them, they would have done much worse lol.

[ensign_lee]

Finishing the week with Giants M/L +172. I think the value here is just too tasty to pass up.

Perhaps my hatred for hte cowboys is clouding my judgment. Hope not though...

[ensign_lee]

Adding NYG -3.5 (-115) 2nd Half
1 unit at BetPhoenix