I sort of agree with both of you. One thing I will add is that the show doesn't do nuance the way GRRM does. Instead it uses shock value. For example, characterizations in the books often foreshadow a twist to come, yet those characterizations are gone in the show and the twist to come is more of a shock. I think we could see shocking twists that are hard to spot because the show is deliberately setting things up that way. But really I have no clue.