Quote Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
Why not just get the first 7 and take the gamble on the 2nd TD?
Probability of winning using this method = 45%
Probability of winning using Lukie's method = 57.375%

Thank you for posting this because it allows me to rant on one of my biggest pet peeves in all of football. Assume a team has the ball and is down by 15 points late in the game and scores a TD. What's going to happen everytime? THE COACH IS GOING TO KICK THE EXTRA POINT EVERY SINGLE TIME EVEN THOUGH HE SHOULD BE GOING FOR TWO. Seriously, it's so fucking stupid. If you score another TD you're either going to convert the two point conversion and have a tie game or you're going to miss it and need another possession. BUT YOU DON'T KNOW IF YOU NEED ANOTHER POSSESSION UNTIL AFTER YOU ATTEMPT THE TWO POINT CONVERSION WHICH WILL LEAVE VERY LITTLE TIME ON THE CLOCK SO WHY DON'T YOU JUST GO FOR TWO AFTER THE FIRST TD SO YOU KNOW MUCH EARLIER WHETHER OR NOT YOU NEED A 3RD POSSESSION OR NOT. UNREAL