*** The Official MAGAposting thread ***

[OngBonga]

Boost's post made a lot more sense than yours, poop. Perhaps that's because boost is attempting to haver a serious conversation, while poop is just taking the piss. Reducto as poopium.

Boost, I get what you're saying, but I'm still finding it hard to believe that Trump can go 300k+ ahead, and then Biden can win back those votes. I appreciate "claw back" isn't the best language, but this is still an anomaly. It's something I would expect to see across the country, a pattern, if it were a reliable indication of how things were.

I totally could be wrong, I'm not firmly in the "fraud" camp here, I'm trying to take a neutral position free from ideological bias. There's something more at stake than just the presidency here... democracy itself is dead if potential fraud is allowed to happen, especially if people take a side down partisan lines. We're pretty much in another divided situation here... the left think everything is in order, the right think there's fraud. I'm not seeing right leaning people saying "meh it's probably legit, gg", nor am I seeing left leaning people saying "these claims need to be investigated properly". That tells me people are not thinking with their brains, but their hearts.

Hence, why I prefer betfair as my guide to what's really going on. Trump still 10/1, which is a lot shorter than the 35/1 he was going at 24 hours after the election. So there must be some confidence from those in the know that he has a case. That's my take.

[Poopadoop]

Hence, why I prefer betfair as my guide to what's really going on. Trump still 10/1, which is a lot shorter than the 35/1 he was going at 24 hours after the election. So there must be some confidence from those in the know that he has a case. That's my take.

If he had a case we'd have seen the evidence by now. He's just blowing smoke up the public's ass. The only way he can "win" is in fact to do something treacherous like fabricate evidence or arrest Biden for child pron or re-enact the Reichstag fire or some shit. The betting odds changing reflect nothing more the % of people who are gulllble enough to buy the fraud rhetoric if it gets repeated often enough. Don't treat it like it's some kind of barometer of reality - it's not.

The real odds of him remaning president are the odds that enough senior Rs and members of SCOTUS would be willing to join in something greasy to keep him in power. And I think even if he had broad R support, the SCOTUS is pretty incorruptible, so he's not going to be able to cheat his way to a win.

[CoccoBill]

Hence, why I prefer betfair as my guide to what's really going on. Trump still 10/1, which is a lot shorter than the 35/1 he was going at 24 hours after the election. So there must be some confidence from those in the know that he has a case. That's my take.

What makes you think the betting people are "in the know", why wouldn't they have ideological bias? Compared to polls, betting odds might be a bit better indication of what those people actually think, albeit with even smaller sample size. Other than that, I don't see how or why they'd be any more accurate.

[Poopadoop]

What makes you think the betting people are "in the know", why wouldn't they have ideological bias? Compared to polls, betting odds might be a bit better indication of what those people actually think, albeit with even smaller sample size. Other than that, I don't see how or why they'd be any more accurate.

Exactly. The average bettor's only "inside information" is what they're seeing on their Auntie Doris' facebook page. I'll bet a good chunk of the dopes betting on Trump are the same ones who've been on r_thedonald for the past five years talking about how the arrest of Obama and Hillary are "imminent."

[Poopadoop]

Boost's post made a lot more sense than yours, poop. Perhaps that's because boost is attempting to haver a serious conversation, while poop is just taking the piss. Reducto as poopium.

Well I already explained the math to you earlier and you didn't get it then, so I assumed explaining the math to you in a different way was pointless.




Which, judging by this comment, was correct.

this is still an anomaly.

What part are you finding anomalous exactly? Biden did better in the urban and mail-in votes than he did in the rural votes everywhere afaik. So in a state with a race that's close, that pattern would result in an early Trump lead being overtaken by Biden when they count the latter votes.

[boost]

boost is attempting to haver a serious conversation

I am trying to engage, but I'm not sure you are.

[OngBonga]

I am trying to engage, but I'm not sure you are.

Sure I am. And I'm trying very hard not to default onto one side or the other, even though my instinct leads me to think all is not right. If I were in trolling mode, I'd likely hardcore take a "fraud" position and argue like shit about it.