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 Originally Posted by wufwugy
On the approval polls, remember how the 2016 polls were way off and I was explaining why they were way off at the time? Do I need to do that again?
Those polls weren't 'way off', they were a few points off, as in the typical margin of error for any poll. Do I need to explain that again?
The approval polls would have to be 14% off for the same thing to happen if there were an election today, which is very very unlikely. That of course assumes 'approval' equates to 'would vote for if given a choice between him and D candidate x', which is not necessarily the case.
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