OK, smarty-pants, what's the best move?

[celtic123]

1) What is the EV of not switching?

2) What is the EV of switching?

3) What do you do?

Switch, If you stick with your first choice, its your ego .

You had a 3/1 shot the first time. now its 2/1 .

If you stick with it, you are calling station and doomed.
If you switch , youll beat the stakes and move up.