Well, record update:

YTD: 5-11-1
Units won: -16.51

Sunday's Record:
5-10-1
Units won: -15.4

YTD Record Broken Down:
-201 or worse: 0-0
-125 or -200: 0-0
-111 to -125: 2-0-1
-101 to -110: 3-7
+100 to +110: 0-2
+111 to +125: 0-0
+125 to +185: 0-1
+186 to +300: 0-0
+300 onwards: 0-0

1 unit plays: 4-7-1
2 unit plays: 1-2
3 unit plays: 0-0
10 unit plays: 0-1

~~~
Ok. I'm going to REALLY try to limit the number of plays I have this week. Sprayed the board last week and got OWNED.

Here are lines that I am interested in betting straight:

Houston Texans +14.5 (-113) @ Indianapolis Colts
NOT just a homer bet. Colts just came off a big prime time win, and face divisional foes, the Jacksonville Jaguars the next week. They could “look ahead” here. Texans aren’t THAT bad…they covered the -16.5 last year when they went to Indy

New York Giants Moneyline (whatever it will be) or +3 (+107) @ Philadelphia Eagles
Giants are better than the Eagles. Period. They just faced off very well against a good Colts team. Only problems I see are A) they are on the road, going into a very hostile stadium B) they may be drained from their prime-time season opener

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (-121) @ Atlanta Falcons
Sure, Tampa got owned today. But you can bet Coach Gruden won’t let his team get walked all over. Atlanta’s coming off a big divisional upset win against the Panthers (everyone’s darling), so they may be a little distracted in preparation this week. 7 points is WAY too many to be giving the Buccaneers

St. Louis Rams -3 (-107) @ San Francisco
San Francisco is bad. PERIOD. End of story.

Seattle Seahawks -6.5 (-107) vs. Arizona
Forget for a second that Arizona just had a strong showing against the 49ers and forget for a second that the Seahawks nearly lost to the Lions. Seattle MUST have been looking ahead to this game here: a divisional game against the team arguably second best in the division. Arizona gameplanned and gameplanned well for San Francisco, but 2 weeks of study (for Seattle) is better than one week of study (for Arizona).

Also, I think there will be public overreaction to the Seahawk’s poor showing and the Cardinal’s strong showing. If this hits -5.5, I’m all over it, and even if it stays where it is, I will still strongly consider betting it.

Here are lines that look like “teaser bait” to me. They cross important numbers, and allow me to fade bad teams that I planned on fading, while at the same time backing good teams from the year before (who shouldn’t have deteriorated in talent that much). I’ll probably be including these in some teasers:

Miami -7 vs. Buffalo
Chicago -7.5 vs. Detroit
New England -6 @ New York Jets
Denver -7 (if Trent Green doesn't come back) vs. Kansas City