$100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($38)
Hero ($156.50)
UTG+1 ($100)
MP1 ($49)
MP2 ($164.50)
MP3 ($167.85)
CO ($100)
Button ($180.80)
SB ($93.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, Q. CO posts a blind of $1.
Hero raises to $5, 7 folds, BB raises to $38, Hero ...

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK so I figure a call is good here since I have no stats on villain. Thoughts?

Fistpump insta call

AYCEB

Originally Posted by Warpe

AYCEB

=?

AWWWW YOU CAN EAT, BABEEEEEE

Originally Posted by Warpe

AWWWW YOU CAN EAT, BABEEEEEE

lol nice

Yeah, i can't fold this. I have a habit of running into AK in this spot at least 265% of the time.

Call...this is some Ax or sooted crap enough from short stacks to make it +EV.

i like to come on keyboard, fastwank, then call.

Post this hand with Tens next time to make it interesting.

It's a call because he is unknown. He could be on tilt, overvalues medium pairs, etc.

For what it's worth, (and what I know or don't know about villain), unknowns I probably would call with TT.

Yeah, i'd call 1010+ and AK.

CALL.

yeah, it is QQ+/AK a lot here. but, its also complete trash a lot, too. with a 40bb stack you have to put him on a much wider range than QQ+/AK.

i put him on 88+,AJs+,AQo+,KJs+,KQo+ and a whole mix of other broadways....and i CRUSH this range.

shortys do very stupid things. most dont know how to short stack, they are just buying in to "shove all-in" w/o risking a lot of chips.

CALL.

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks

Originally Posted by BankItDrew

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks

The % of time you need to win to break even is a pot odds thing. I'm calling $33 in a pot of $44.5 so the % is 33/(33+44.5) = 0.425 which I rounded to 43%. At the table it's easier to think of it as (amount to call)/(total pot after you call) which I think of here as about 33/77 which I know is 40-45% from quick estimation (it helps that I know 3/7ths is 0.428571 but that's because I'm a math nerd).

You can get QQ being 40% vs QQ+,AK from Poker Stove, but it's one of the kind of common ones I've come to "just know".

pot odds is around 3:4 and our pot equity vs QQ+, AK is 40%. Anyways, going gamboll against unknown shorty should be a good thing.

297,940,896 games 0.005 secs 59,588,179,200 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.207% 38.35% 01.86% 114253440 5540034.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 59.793% 57.93% 01.86% 172607388 5540034.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

Originally Posted by BankItDrew

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks

Originally Posted by Fnord

Post this hand with Tens next time to make it interesting.

TT is an ezzzzz fold, JJ would be much tougher because then QQ+ AQ+ are all in opps range.