|
$200nl - AJ OOP, catch on 99QJ turn
Villain is a 12/4 regular nit who is probably a winning player but is kind of passive. Also, his fold to cbet % was around 70-75% if I remember correctly.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
UTG+1 ($274.45)
MP1 ($90.70)
MP2 ($106.70)
MP3 ($235.40)
CO ($80.45)
Button ($48)
Hero ($199)
BB ($199)
UTG ($272.15)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J , A .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $2, MP1 calls $2, 4 folds, Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $10, MP1 folds.
Flop: ($28) 9 , 9 , Q (2 players)
Hero bets $22, UTG+1 calls $22.
Turn: ($72) J (2 players)
Hero ...
So I'm sitting here like wtf. I figure a nit would open limp/call from UTG+1 with shit like medium to small pocket pairs or maybe some suited connectors, and the hands that call my c-bet are flush draws that don't care what I have, 9's that hope I have a big pair, and small pocket pairs who put me on missed overs. I don't think he hardly ever has a queen here but maybe I'm wrong about that.
So I figure if I shoot a second barrel on the turn then it's setting me up to lose a big pot when I'm behind and win a small pot when I'm ahead. If he has a small pair or a flush draw, I don't think he'll try to take it away enough on the turn to justify calling a bet. He just doesn't seem like that aware or active or aggressive or whatever of a player.
With all of this in consideration, I guess I should c/f the turn and maybe c/c the river if a club doesn't come. This hand gave me a bit of trouble, and still is.
Thoughts?
|