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 Originally Posted by jackvance
Do you bet your made hands for half pot too? Otherwise I don't like this cbet. I'd also bet the turn harder. But seeing how he raised you, he has a made hand, so if you push you WILL get called, so it's basically going on your 12 outs or 25% to win or something. Not even all of them might be good, if he has a made straight for example. There's also a low chance of this being a semi-bluff of sorts on his part, so the Ace might be an out too. I lay this down most of the time.
Good thinking, IMO. Wish I had taken the 20 or so secs to think it through like this.
By the way, heads-up, the flop bet is standard whether I have an OESD, top pair, AK unimproved, or a flopped boat. Opp's range here is practically anything. Q90 is entirely possible. I have position, opp call/checked. I try to win it here.
I pushed the turn. Opp flipped A6 (no hearts)
B.u.s.t.e.d.
Results-based, that looks like a dire play... I'm not su sure it's avoidable though. I read him for an ace and though i was 25% ish winning the pot and 75% ish splitting it. Didn't really take the 6 into account.
I think a call is better here actually. Opp might check river and I would have checked behind. If he pushes then you get another chance to think about it.
Yea? Nay?
I don't feel to bad about it but I am still a bit worried that I get stacked pretty often in that spot.
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