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$200nl - Overpair flop commitment decision w/KK

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  1. #1
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    Default $200nl - Overpair flop commitment decision w/KK

    Button is unknown and I'm pretty sure this was his first or second orbit at the table. Other two villains are about 18/9/0.9 over a lot of hands.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    CO ($276.35)
    Button ($106.45)
    SB ($98.40)
    BB ($261.60)
    Hero ($196)
    UTG+1 ($211)
    MP1 ($203.65)
    MP2 ($197)
    MP3 ($228.90)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K.
    Hero raises to $8, 4 folds, CO calls $8, Button calls $8, 1 fold, BB calls $6.

    Flop: ($33) 8, J, 7 (4 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $28

    I make this bet with the plan to fold to a raise from CO or BB and call a push from the button.

    Thoughts?
  2. #2
    You're representing a strong Jack or better, maybe the nut flush draw. I'd say anyone who raises has AJ or a better made hand. Also, the BU shove would give you about 3:1? The plan sounds good. No time to act weak now.
  3. #3
    Hero rarely has Jx here.

    It's AA-QQ/set far more often.

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