100NL, flush pair draw in multiway pot, confused

villain is 17.8/4.8/2.14 over 117 hands. i'm wondering if Gambling here is +EV for the long run given flop actions?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($68.40)
UTG+1 ($65.10)
MP1 ($32.30)
MP2 ($29.85)
CO ($116)
Button ($34.05)
SB ($100.50)
Hero ($100)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 2.
UTG calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, 1 fold, MP2 calls $1, 3 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: ($4.50) J, 4, 2 (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 bets $1, MP2 calls $1, Hero raises to $6, UTG raises to $67.4, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, Hero ?

From this kind of guy a min bet + a push is most likely a set. It can eventually be AKss or AA also.
Let's put some ranges and see it it worth it:

Board: 4c Jc 2s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.096% 41.10% 00.00% 5289 0.00 { 7c2c }
Hand 1: 58.904% 58.90% 00.00% 7581 0.00 { AA, JJ, 44, AsKs }

Note: This is a kind of optimist approach because 22 was not included as we have one of them.
Adding KK just gives us 1% in equity more.

You are getting 1.35 - 1 in pot odds. It means you need to have at least 42.5% of equity. Which with these ranges you don't have.

This is a fold.

he didnt minbet but c/r shove wildly
this is my pokerstove(AJ, QQ, ac suited added). Oh, baby, my hand had a bit better EV against these ranges i put my villain on!!!!

38,610 games 0.005 secs 7,722,000 games/sec
Board: Jc 4c 2s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.970% 43.96% 00.01% 16974 3.00 { 7c2c }
Hand 1: 56.030% 56.02% 00.01% 21630 3.00 { JJ+, 44, 22, AJs, Ac5c, Ac3c, AJo }

Originally Posted by jimmy44

From this kind of guy a min bet + a push is most likely a set. It can eventually be AKss or AA also.

fold

are you still folding to 40BB stack size shove?

Originally Posted by martindcx1e

fold

yes

so basically you said you would fold this almost every single time except that villain was extremely shortstacked like 15BB-20BB, right?

Originally Posted by martindcx1e

yes

I gamble with him

As retarded as this looks, I would fold because your flush draw is pretty weak.

Originally Posted by Fnord

As retarded as this looks, I would fold because your flush draw is pretty weak.

That's not retarded at all. Fold here is 100% standard.

all we beat is a flush draw, and even a flush draw has 13 outs.

Originally Posted by XTR1000

I gamble with him

really? that's a pretty big gamble. the raise is 60 bb's more.

I wanna gamble it, just cause I think it would be better for my image. But it's pretty much a wash equity wise I think. Might be slightly +eV or slightly -eV depending on his exact range.