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100nl - fps'y looking line for value

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  1. #1

    Default 100nl - fps'y looking line for value

    villain is 14/11 nit-tag over a decent sample. i haven't played with him in awhile but from browsing 2p2 i've discovered he's been playing much better lately since getting coached.

    thus I think I can give him credit for being able to read hands and game flow better than in the past (where he played tighter and weaker).

    I had already taken down 3 pots or so calling his PFR out of the blinds this session across a couple tables.

    he probably views me as an aggro tag, not sure if he would see me as tricky/fps'y but I can recall raising his turn barrel once and folding to a jam on a semi-coordinated board.

    anyway what do you guys think? I sized the river a bit smaller than I could have because it gives him a better price on a curiosity call and a better price on the bluff im repping.



    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (SB) ($100)
    BB ($100)
    UTG ($84.75)
    MP1 ($136.85)
    MP2 ($141.50)
    CO ($100)
    Button ($102.60)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with J, A
    3 folds, CO bets $2.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, 1 fold

    Flop: ($6) A, K, 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO checks

    Turn: ($6) 4 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $4.20, Hero raises to $12.50, CO calls $8.30

    River: ($31) Q (2 players)
    Hero bets $19
  2. #2
    what are you expecting him to call with that you beat?
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by reDZill4 View Post
    what are you expecting him to call with that you beat?
    More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?


    Don't complain; Just work harder - Randy Pausch (The Last Lecture)
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by caddie444 View Post
    More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?
    ...
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by caddie444 View Post
    More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?
    I was under the impression that we were trying to rep a bluff.
  6. #6
    bikes's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by caddie444 View Post
    More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?
    facepalm.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Bbickes View Post
    facepalm.
    yah it's ok I haven't got one in a while you guys must be slackin'


    Don't complain; Just work harder - Randy Pausch (The Last Lecture)
  8. #8
    weaker Ax and Kx

    is this line really credible as a bluff?
  9. #9
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    thing is you reek bet-fold thin more than a bluff here
  10. #10
    I obv misunderstood and thought you were bluffing not trying to rep a bluff, and I even read the post, I must be tired...

    Anyways I think your line is ok if he's even somewhat stationy/makes-curiosity-calls and can hand read, still too fpsy for me though.

    If I chose to do this I may bet river bigger to make it look like we don't want a call.
    Last edited by caddie444; 09-10-2010 at 07:57 AM.


    Don't complain; Just work harder - Randy Pausch (The Last Lecture)
  11. #11
    Seems decent. Not a great river for this move so I'd be a little smaller like you say (on total blanks you can bet big here), but a 14/11 is definitely opening enough Ax for this to be good.
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  12. #12
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    you should be c/r 99 and 44 to some degree as well for balance imo. also its a line which seems to be vastly un-credible for some reason.
  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Bbickes View Post
    you should be c/r 99 and 44 to some degree as well for balance imo. also its a line which seems to be vastly un-credible for some reason.
    screw balance, I like this line because they call too much, why would I do this w/ 99? And I think 44 is a fold pre here.
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  14. #14
    You have a very good hand stop bluffin
  15. #15
    am i expected to never be bluffing here?
  16. #16
    i assume a guy this nitty wont have anything ever to call you with and its not a common spot enough on turn for him to start reshipping his marginals.

    i prefer leading turn on most occasions.
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.

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