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100NL, is this a good DB & trip barrel spot?

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  1. #1

    Default 100NL, is this a good DB & trip barrel spot?

    villian is a regular running 13/10/5 with ATS 28%. His cbet% is 80%. Should i follow up on the turn & river given that my perceived c/r range includes lots of nut hands? Any thoughts? Is leading on the flop better than c/r in this spot?
    Pot-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG+1 ($11.60)
    MP1 ($48.80)
    MP2 ($27.25)
    MP3 ($43.25)
    CO ($111.55)
    Button ($103.60)
    SB ($53.20)
    Hero (BB) ($142.90)
    UTG ($107.75)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
    5 folds, CO bets $3.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50

    Flop: ($7.50) 9, 10, 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $5, Hero raises $17.50, CO calls $12.50

    Turn: ($42.50) 10 (2 players)
    Hero ?
  2. #2
    Turn is a terrible, terrible card, give up. His range is stronger than yours here since he can have T8-AT, 87 and 66/99/TT. You are repping 66/99/TT which is 7 combos, unless you call preflop with 87s here. If you bet again I think you can maybe get him to fold pair+gutshots that he might call flop raise with ie 97,98,88,77,67,68, but that's a small part of his range. I wouldn't be surprised if he called turn with JJ+ also since you are repping such a tiny range and there's no way I want to triple barrel here.
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  3. #3
    Guest
    this is a good c/f spot because a T almost never hits your range
    even if YOU c/r AT here for value that doesn't mean anyone will ever give you credit for it
  4. #4
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    It's not horrible because villain has to make a sick call without a ten if you fire big on turn.
  5. #5
    I think a turn call for villain with a T is pretty standard since hero is repping such a tiny range.
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  6. #6
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by BankItDrew
    It's not horrible because villain has to make a sick call without a ten if you fire big on turn.
    it's a sick call if he has JJ+ here? I don't think so

    and worse hands than Tx just fold flop nobody is peeling 9x unless he has a gutshot so it's only 98s/97s that we can expect to fold on the turn

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