200nl trips vs tag.

Villlain is a very solid tag. My image is 17/11 tag.


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($368.20)
UTG ($213.25)
UTG+1 ($52)
MP1 ($0)
MP2 ($235.82)
MP3 ($207.85)
CO ($200)
Button ($210.05)
SB ($199.70)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J, K. CO posts a blind of $2. SB posts a blind of $1.
3 folds, MP3 calls $2, CO (poster) checks, 1 fold, SB (poster) completes, Hero checks.

Flop: ($8) 7, K, T (5 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, MP3 folds, CO folds, SB raises to $15, Hero calls $10.

Turn: ($38) 8 (3 players)
SB bets $25, Hero calls $25.

River: ($88) K (3 players)
SB bets $45, Hero calls $45.

Final Pot: $178

nh

KT, missed draw but nicely played.

Originally Posted by Miffed22001

KT, missed draw but nicely played.

KT makes boat on river.

I think villian has two pair on flop, maybe combo draw.

I'm not sure what you really beat here. To me, it looks like 77, or a combo draw, both which have you beat.

I would probably dump the turn.

Originally Posted by WildBobAA

I would probably dump the turn.

Villain has str8 draw or flush draw an enormous percentage of the time here. I think dumping this on any street other than the river is throwing value away.

Originally Posted by Renton

Originally Posted by WildBobAA

I would probably dump the turn.

Villain has str8 draw or flush draw an enormous percentage of the time here. I think dumping this on any street other than the river is throwing value away.

Agreed. Why call the river then?

Because a good player would push all in on the river with a made hand when he knew that his villain made trip kings.

I personally don't expect you to stack off if I think you're a solid TAG.

This size of his river value bet gave me a good price to call even if his range beat me, plus almost eliminated the chance of him having a flush or a full house. The natural play with a flush or full house would be to push and hope I make a crying call. I honestly believed the only hand he has here that beats me is KQ.

The range I put on him after the river bet is K2-K9 KQ T7 89 or occasionally a baby flush.

Well, I would bet closer to $60 with a made flush here. Pushing $150~ into an $88 pot makes me believe my trips aren't good, no?

Would he c/r a weak K? I'm not sure if K2-K9 is really in his range... I was thinking KQ, T7, 89, QJ, with respective combo draws, etc.

Originally Posted by mxiu

Well, I would bet closer to $60 with a made flush here. Pushing $150~ into an $88 pot makes me believe my trips aren't good, no?

If you think he'll call $60, 50% of the time, but he'll call $150, 25% of the time, then betting $150 is the best play.

Originally Posted by mxiu

Would he c/r a weak K?

C/ring a weak K wouldn't be a bad play here, since I am betting out this flop with a draw much more often than a King.

Originally Posted by Renton

Originally Posted by mxiu

Well, I would bet closer to $60 with a made flush here. Pushing $150~ into an $88 pot makes me believe my trips aren't good, no?

If you think he'll call $60, 50% of the time, but he'll call $150, 25% of the time, then betting $150 is the best play.

I think it's more along the lines of, KKKJ will call $60, >75% of the time, and will call $150, <25% of the time.

Originally Posted by Renton

Because a good player would push all in on the river with a made hand when he knew that his villain made trip kings.

I'd agree if he was up against a fish, but assuming he knows you're a solid player, pushing the river is just throwing away value, since you are never calling without at least a flush.

I'd just make a weak fold on the flop. You are either crushed, or a slight favorite at best, meaning reverse implied odds could be potentially huge.

Originally Posted by bdawg56kg

reverse implied odds could be potentially huge.

That's what I was thinking about the flop c/r.

Results?

he showed K9 shipit