200NL TT vs nitty mcnitterson

villain is a random 12/8 whom I have no history with. vbet or no?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 ($250.30)
MP3 ($213.50)
CO ($228.20)
Hero (Button) ($319.75)
SB ($38)
BB ($200)
UTG ($163)
UTG+1 ($43)
MP1 ($40)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, 10
4 folds, MP3 bets $6, 1 fold, Hero calls $6, 1 fold, BB calls $4

Flop: ($19) 2, 5, 6 (3 players)
BB bets $12, 1 fold, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($43) 5 (2 players)
BB bets $26, Hero calls $26

River: ($95) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero

No chance I'm vbetting this. Seems too thin, I doubt he's paying off a small value bet with 77 and he'd have to for this to be +EV. I feel like the turn decision is closer than the river decision.

Originally Posted by badgers

No chance I'm vbetting this. Seems too thin, I doubt he's paying off a small value bet with 77 and he'd have to for this to be +EV. I feel like the turn decision is closer than the river decision.

Yeah turn is pretty damn close imo. I was just sucked into calling though .

nitty mcnitterson! hahaha

I would have to side with badgers but I find myself calling here and checking back the river seeing qq all day.

Originally Posted by wordtothewise

I would have to side with badgers but I find myself calling here and checking back the river seeing qq all day.

He 3bets enough for me to not include QQ in his range. He probably has JJ in his range though.

Originally Posted by jessyj

Originally Posted by wordtothewise

I would have to side with badgers but I find myself calling here and checking back the river seeing qq all day.

He 3bets enough for me to not include QQ in his range. He probably has JJ in his range though.

My bad! Just note that I see everything through 50nl eyes. I see qq a fair amount based on the these stats at 50nl.

Originally Posted by wordtothewise

My bad!

np was just trying to give all info i can

you have decent showdown value, he is rarely calling worse.
I check behind, cos I'm also a nit

he's weighted toward hands that beat you so check