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200NL - ummm what?

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  1. #1
    Keilah's Avatar
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    Default 200NL - ummm what?

    Villain is unkown, I'm still new to the level so I don't know if he's a fish or a reg. I'm expecting he'd flat call with most overpairs? He could have 65, 54, 75, A5, or something like that, else it's boats or bluffs. What's the plan if we continue?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP1 ($205.05)
    MP2 ($233)
    MP3 ($197)
    CO ($200)
    Button ($261.95)
    Hero (SB) ($195.50)
    BB ($197)
    UTG ($113)
    UTG+1 ($103.55)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 5, 10
    UTG calls $2, 5 folds, Button calls $2, Hero calls $1, BB checks

    Flop: ($8) 5, 5, 3 (4 players)
    Hero bets $6, 1 fold, UTG calls $6, Button calls $6

    Turn: ($26) 8 (3 players)
    Hero bets $18, 1 fold, Button raises to $50, Hero...
  2. #2
    what the hell? what is his range here? I guess suited 5's like you said 45,65,75. But isnt a 5 raising the flop with the flush draw out there? No 8 makes sense to raise b/c you're not calling with worse. I guess you are ahead of most of his 5's and any unlikely 8 and could he have pocket 3's?--should be a pre-flop raise though...

    Maybe this guy is just a huge fish and he is raising an 8 for no reason? I dont know...shove!?
    ISF while watching me play: "Wow, you're really butchering this."
  3. #3
    fold pf.
    [11:11] <+bikes> bitches love your face
  4. #4
    Keilah's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by reDZill4
    fold pf.
    agree
    misclick
    now what?
  5. #5
    pot, 2/3 f, 1/2 f
    [11:11] <+bikes> bitches love your face
  6. #6
    turn is a fold, his range is mainly 33/88 and possibly the occasional 54s,56s that you have beat, though thats not especially likely.
    "This sure beats Super Mario Bros.!" is my ejaculation catch phrase.
  7. #7
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    you line looks more like a 5 than it does a draw... we should assume button is aware of this and doesn't seem to mind.
  8. #8
    ensign_lee's Avatar
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    The only two ways you're winning this hand are if you outkick your opponent or if he has air or currently a flush draw trying to push you out.

    The main way that he beats you is if he has 33. I think that probability is relatively small.

    Probability of him having a flush draw > probability of him having a 5 > probability of him having 33, imo.

    Raise to $100 total. If he has a 5 that you outkick, he'll probably call (or even one that you don't outkick, but it'll make him think). If he has a flush draw, he'll either fold or call. If he has 33, you're fucked and he'll raise in your face, in which case you've saved yourself the difference between $100 and the rest of your stack.

    Raise.
  9. #9
    Hello Edmund

    the 200nl games play a lot different than they did in 2006 on Party.

    Have a nice day.
  10. #10
    small pot
    oop
    no reads
    not happy playing for stacks
    just move up a level

    fold.
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  11. #11
    raising is definitely the worst option by far.
    "This sure beats Super Mario Bros.!" is my ejaculation catch phrase.

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