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50NL - Miracle river 140x deep, looking for a value line

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  1. #1
    oskar's Avatar
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    Default 50NL - Miracle river 140x deep, looking for a value line

    [edit - positions fixed]

    Villain is 22/6, 2 Agg. And 20% AF over 600 hands. Turn I might have missed a bet.

    $0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
    10 players
    Converted at weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG ($58.38)
    UTG+1 ($51.69)
    Hero (MP1) ($69.18)
    CO ($3.52)
    BTN ($73.37)
    SB ($32.06)
    BB ($42.81)

    Pre-flop: ($0.75, 10 players) Hero is MP1
    UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.50, 4 folds, Button calls $2.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $2

    Flop: ($8.25, 3 players)
    UTG checks, Hero bets $6.50, Button calls $6.50, UTG folds

    Turn: ($21.25, 2 players)
    Hero checks, Button checks

    River: ($21.25, 2 players)


    Overall I thought there was a pretty narrow range that he would call that he would also be very likely to bet when checked to and some that he would hopefully try to bluff with.
    So I went with checking with intention of shoving if he bets - hopefully making his life hell if he has a K. In case he has Kx or Ax I would hate giving him the opportunity to make a comfortable call.
    Makes sense?
    It feels kind of donkish, because I don't do that with weaker hands and if he's thinking he can get away from QK there... but then he probably won't raise that anyway if I bet.
  2. #2
    bet something 99-QQ will call and any K will raise, I think $8-$10 sounds goot.

    also bet turn
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  3. #3
    oskar's Avatar
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    That's funny... I think I would say the same thing if someone else posted this hand. I somehow thought he could easily get away from 99-QQ when the A hits - which really would be a good idea against my range. I thought that he would be too afraid of AK or AA to raise... I'm never sure how much credit I can give these guys when it comes to evaluating hand strengh.
  4. #4
    Guest
    ummm why would he assume you have ak/aa? this is not a 3bet pot or anything.

    +1 what badgers said
  5. #5
    I'd bet like small on the river but I wouldn't check the turn like ever

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