AA what would you do?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (10 handed)

MP2 ($67.92)
SC ($62.80)
CO ($90.20)
Button ($45)
SB ($34.52)
BB ($58.15)
UTG ( BIGLAG) ($59.25)
UTG+1 ($41.80)
UTG+2 ($48)
MP1 ($138.79)

Preflop: SC is MP3 with A, A.
UTG ( BIGLAG) calls $1, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, SC raises to $4, CO folds, Button folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG ( BIGLAG) calls $3.

Flop: ($9.50) K, 6, 7 (2 players)
BIGLAG checks, SC bets $5, BIGLAG calls $5.

Turn: ($19.50) 3 (2 players)
BIGLAG checks, SC bets $15, BIGLAG calls $15.

River: ($49.50) Q (2 players)
BIGLAG bets $35.25 (All-In), ????


Final Pot: $120

I'd call as he's a LAG against an avg player i'd fold and vs a tricky player it would be close either way. To call you have to win over 65% of the time to show a profit so against the LAg I'd guess that's he's bluffing here at least half the time.

Also if he is lag he may have raised his flush draw on the flop, which points further towards a bluff or weaker hand.

I call Mr. Lag

Against LAgg you can over-bet more. Pot+ on the turn.

Originally Posted by Fnord

Against LAgg you can over-bet more. Pot+ on the turn.

agreed, although i would have started pushing on the flop - at least bet the pot.

i'm thinking he maybe had AQ?

Didn't notice the flop under-bet. Yeah, that is horrible.

I'm guessing he's holding KQ. If it were me, I would have made him put all his chips in the middle before the river hit. Gotta bet harder, especially the flop.

Assuming that he is a half ways decent player (it could happen!), he's flat calling bets that give him horrible pot odds -I believe you should have been overbetting the pot on the flop and turn- to chase, then the all in on the river says he either made his KQ (unlikely) or that he is trying to represent the flush. Easy call in most situations, depend on the finer points of his playing style (or lack thereof).

Originally Posted by Toasty

To call you have to win over 65% of the time to show a profit

I don't think that's correct. It's $35 to win $85. You only have to win about 30% of the time to show profit.

3 wins = $85*3 = $255
7 losses = $35*7 = $245