AK.. how's my line?

Live game. 1/2 NL (100 max buy-in). 11 players. Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts and is sitting at about 800. I have $252. SB and BB are really tight and have already notioned that they are going to fold to the 25xBB raise.


Villain is UTG.

Dealt AKs on the button.

Villain raises to $50.

Everyone else folds.

I raise all-in $252.



What does everyone think? I put him on JJ-QQ, and is too damn scared to play a flop. If he folds, I win $53 preflop, if he calls, I have a coinflop.

If he has JJ-QQ and with your read, he will undoubtably call you with those hands, in which case you are about 46% to win which does not justify the odds you're getting (1:1). Something tells me that there's not much of a chance of him folding if he's run his 100 buy in up to 800 and is sucking out (he's probably willing to gamble). Now if you think he might call you with AQ (possible but unlikely) then maybe I make this play but I'm pretty much against sticking it in with AK in any cash game since I'd much rather take flops and outplay people. QQ, KK, AA I make this play and that's it.

what are the BLINDS
maybe against JJ QQ his pot equity is good enough for that coin flip

Originally Posted by mxiu

Live game. 1/2 NL

Originally Posted by WildBobAA

If he has JJ-QQ and with your read, he will undoubtably call you with those hands, in which case you are about 46% to win which does not justify the odds you're getting (1:1). Something tells me that there's not much of a chance of him folding if he's run his 100 buy in up to 800 and is sucking out (he's probably willing to gamble). Now if you think he might call you with AQ (possible but unlikely) then maybe I make this play but I'm pretty much against sticking it in with AK in any cash game since I'd much rather take flops and outplay people. QQ, KK, AA I make this play and that's it.

He bets 25xBB. I definitely do not put him on KK-AA. Against the rest of the coinflip hands, or possibly even AK, don't I have some folding equity? 25xBB is quite the raise PF.

Originally Posted by mxiu

Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts

Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool.

Originally Posted by iRICHeyes

Originally Posted by mxiu

Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts

Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool.

FE?

Originally Posted by mxiu

Originally Posted by iRICHeyes

Originally Posted by mxiu

Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts

Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool.

FE?

Fold Equity

If he's making a lot of calls that he shouldn't, doesn't that also mean that there's more of a chance that he'll hold hands that I dominate? AQ/KQ? Keep in mind that I'm sitting at a table that will re-raise QJs.

Originally Posted by mxiu

If he's making a lot of calls that he shouldn't, doesn't that also mean that there's more of a chance that he'll hold hands that I dominate? AQ/KQ? Keep in mind that I'm sitting at a table that will re-raise QJs.

I don't know, I'm going with your read that he has JJ or QQ

If he's scared to play a flop with JJ or QQ, and that's your read, didn't you just do exactly what he wanted you to?