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AK tptk donked into on turn blank

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  1. #1
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    Default AK tptk donked into on turn blank

    villain is 22-5 over 100, has folded to a c-bet 3/10, has raised 2 cbets (once with a big hand, the other time he generated a fold). His turn aggression frequency is 20% (small sample)
    This confused the hell out of me. What's my river plan if i call?

    edit - note that we have the ace blocking turned flush draws a bunch

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG ($51.25)
    UTG+1 ($55)
    MP1 ($55.65)
    MP2 ($111.95)
    MP3 ($60.60)
    Hero (CO) ($52.75)
    Button ($26.05)
    SB ($50)
    BB ($27.70)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with K, A
    4 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, Hero bets $2.25, 3 folds, MP3 calls $1.75

    Flop: ($5.25) J, 9, A (2 players)
    MP3 checks, Hero bets $3.75, MP3 calls $3.75

    Turn: ($12.75) 3 (2 players)
    MP3 bets $7
    Last edited by daven; 02-08-2011 at 06:41 PM.
  2. #2
    jimmy44's Avatar
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    With your reads, I believe (even if the sample is small) that he would raise also with big hands. So I put him mostly in draws. However, even if he has also big hands here we have good equity:


    2,596 games 0.001 secs 2,596,000 games/sec

    Board: Jd 9d Ac 3s
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 45.647% 45.65% 00.00% 1185 0.00 { AdKs }
    Hand 1: 54.353% 54.35% 00.00% 1411 0.00 { AA, JJ, 99, 33, AJs, A9s, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, KQs, QTs, J9s, AJo, A9o, KQo, QTo, J9o }

    Therefore, I would call a bet on a non diamond and non K,T. But I'm a station
  3. #3
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    add A3, take out Ad hands cos we have Ad and it becomes interesting?
  4. #4
    Call and call not sure what else you'd want to do
  5. #5
    Renton's Avatar
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    a little town called none of your goddamn business
    Raise for sure, you lose to only 33/A3.

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