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AKs ?Overs? +nut flush draw

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  1. #1

    Default AKs ?Overs? +nut flush draw

    PokerStars Game #3966958516: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2006/02/13 - 23:48:34 (ET)
    Table 'Delphinus V' Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: Squeeze5 ($29.45 in chips)
    Seat 3: DJSS ($4.60 in chips)
    Seat 4: ehmann ($12.90 in chips)
    Seat 5: vnick4 ($9.75 in chips)
    Seat 6: Alameda22 ($22.10 in chips)
    Seat 7: WildWayneo ($1.90 in chips)
    Seat 8: 57Vic44 ($9.65 in chips)
    Seat 9: J-Rock-PSK ($14.25 in chips)
    BeetleSpin~n will be allowed to play after the button
    DJSS: posts small blind $0.10
    ehmann: posts big blind $0.25
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Alameda22 [Kc Ac]
    vnick4: folds
    Alameda22: raises $0.75 to $1
    WildWayneo: folds
    57Vic44: folds
    J-Rock-PSK: folds
    Squeeze5: raises $2 to $3
    DJSS: raises $1.60 to $4.60 and is all-in
    ehmann: folds
    Alameda22: calls $3.60
    Squeeze5: calls $1.60
    *** FLOP *** [4c 9c Jh]
    Alameda22: checks
    Squeeze5: bets $4
    Alameda22: calls $4
    *** TURN *** [4c 9c Jh] [3d]
    Alameda22: checks
    Squeeze5: bets $13.50
    Alameda22: folds
    *** RIVER *** [4c 9c Jh 3d] [8c]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Squeeze5: shows [8d 8s] (three of a kind, Eights)
    Squeeze5 collected $7.65 from side pot
    DJSS: mucks hand
    DJSS leaves the table
    Squeeze5 collected $13.35 from main pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $22.05 Main pot $13.35. Side pot $7.65. | Rake $1.05
    Board [4c 9c Jh 3d 8c]
    Seat 1: Squeeze5 (button) showed [8d 8s] and won ($21) with three of a kind, Eights
    Seat 3: DJSS (small blind) mucked [Td Jd]
    Seat 4: ehmann (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 5: vnick4 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: Alameda22 folded on the Turn
    Seat 7: WildWayneo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: 57Vic44 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 9: J-Rock-PSK folded before Flop (didn't bet)


    I Went cold in tournies, so Ive been trying ring games, Ive been doin well, this is the first hand to really baffle me. If Im figuring my odds correctly, I need a 27.7% chance of winning to call correctly.
    If he has Queens, Im 34%
    If he has Kings Im 27.3%
    If he has Aces Im 20.5%
    I decided it was more likely that he had aces than a pair lower than Qs, and laid my hand down.

    Can I make a call on the turn here?

    Also, was I right to check-call on the flop, or should I have bet out.
  2. #2
    c/r flop all-in and try not to care too much if he calls or folds.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
    c/r flop all-in and try not to care too much if he calls or folds.
    lol, I was about to type this and realize Fnord beat me to it. That's one of the best flops you can hope for with AKs, gotta play it hard.
  4. #4
    Yeah, he turn-fucked himself here.

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