Bottom set vs nit repping only 3 combos semi deep 50NL

Villain is a 11/9 nit reg on a lot of my tables..his repping only 88 here


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($74)
BB ($50)
UTG ($74.90)
UTG+1 ($41.50)
Hero (MP1) ($75.50)
MP2 ($92.30)
CO ($50.75)
Button ($46.75)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with ,
2 folds, Hero bets $1.50, 3 folds, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.50) , , (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB raises to $7, Hero calls $4.50

Turn: ($17.50) (2 players)
SB bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($41.50) (2 players)
SB bets $25

just call down dont raise

Originally Posted by Micro2Macro

just call down dont raise

kay kay thanks

call, definitely dont raise. semi fist pump because how does he ever have anything here


then post on ftr and curse the gods when he shows you 88

Originally Posted by AFchung

call, definitely dont raise. semi fist pump because how does he ever have anything here


then post on ftr and curse the gods when he shows you 88

lol :P

Pretty sure i would fold at some point during this hand, this guy should use his image to scare off people but i think about 0% of the 50nl nits does that =)

idk man ive seen these guys do some bizarre stuff from time to time. we have a set on a dry board i dont see how we can fold. just take the line that keeps his range widest and make a note on what he shows on on river.

especially in the era of training videos you'll see nits randomly run a weird bluff in a spot where they rep a narrow range - at least often enough to make me never want to fold a set here.

we don't have enough info to fold - is villain stuck? is he tilting? has he been running loose this session? does he think hero is weak/tight? does he think hero is capable of folding a pair here? etc. we need to look at more than just some guys preflop stats before we start folding here.