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Call or Fold
The one read I had on this guy is he had made ridulous reraises like this before. My guess is he did this when he felt he had the nuts. I really couldn't get T3 out of my head. but i figured he could probably have Tx, probably not AT though.
Game #1203428549 - (blinds $0.05/$0.10) No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2006/01/08-09:43:51.2 (CST) Table "Pilo (5 max)" (real money) -- Seat 5 is the button Seat 1: spadeologist ($1.75 in chips) Seat 2: untasty ($11.71 in chips) Seat 3: redgrape ($15.57 in chips) Seat 4: rog B ($3.40 in chips) Seat 5: hammer1951 ($25.30 in chips)
spadeologist: Post Small Blind ($0.05)
untasty : Post Big Blind ($0.10)
redgrape: Post ($0.15)
Dealing...
Dealt to redgrape [ 9h ]
Dealt to redgrape [ Ts ]
redgrape: Check
rog B : Call ($0.10)
hammer1951: Call ($0.10)
spadeologist: Call ($0.05)
untasty : Check
*** FLOP *** : [ Td Tc As ]
spadeologist: Check
untasty : Check
redgrape: Bet ($0.30)
rog B : Call ($0.30)
hammer1951: Call ($0.30)
spadeologist: Fold
untasty : Call ($0.30)
*** TURN *** : [ Td Tc As ] [ 3s ]
untasty : Check
redgrape: Bet ($1.20)
rog B : Fold
hammer1951: Fold
untasty : Raise ($11.31)
redgrape: ???
Here's the Math
Board: Ts Tc Ah 3d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 51.2175 % 32.31% 18.91% { T9o }
Hand 2: 48.7825 % 29.87% 18.91% { TT, KTs, QTs, JTs, T2s+, KTo, QTo, JTo, T2o+ }
I seriously doubted at the time that he could have anything but a Ten, He was doing these reraises though more frequently than you think someone who had the definite nuts would do.
Thoughts?
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