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 Originally Posted by mixchange
I think its more likely he has AQ than AA or QQ.
Now we're getting somewhere. Let agree that AQ is more likely thus:
AQ: 38%
AA: 31%
QQ: 31%
I win 83% of the time in case 1. thus I win .82 X .38 = 31.5%
I win 4.3% of the other two cases, thus: .042 X .62 = 2.6%
Total 34.1%
I think it's a pretty borderline case, but since I only have $16, and there's $32 in the pot now, I called. If I had the full $38 what do you think?
Another thought: I don't think this is a bluff 10% of the time, or even 5% of the time, so I didn't account for bluffs.
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