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Do I have enough folding equity here?

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  1. #1
    Renton's Avatar
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    Default Do I have enough folding equity here?

    ***** Hand History for Game 3593266321 *****
    $25 NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, February 20, 21:08:28 ET 2006
    Table Sandbag (Real Money)
    Seat 5 is the button
    Total number of players : 10
    Seat 1: modawg3434 ( $22.78 )
    Seat 3: JQdaBalla ( $25.05 )
    Seat 4: mattie_t20 ( $27.79 )
    Seat 6: spuds53538 ( $8.75 )
    Seat 10: teeba420 ( $57.30 )
    Seat 5: Renton555 ( $24.90 )
    Seat 9: Jamokian ( $24.23 )
    Seat 2: CheriBibi ( $23.75 )
    Seat 7: walnuts02 ( $23.25 )
    Seat 8: AlyssaWick ( $4.75 )
    spuds53538 posts small blind [$0.10].
    walnuts02 posts big blind [$0.25].
    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to Renton555 [ 9d 8d ]
    >You have options at Playtime Table!.
    AlyssaWick folds.
    Jamokian folds.
    teeba420 raises [$0.50].
    modawg3434 folds.
    CheriBibi folds.
    JQdaBalla raises [$1].
    mattie_t20 folds.
    Renton555 calls [$1].
    spuds53538 folds.
    walnuts02 folds.
    >You have options at Contralto Table!.
    teeba420 calls [$0.50].
    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 2d, 4d, 8s ]
    teeba420 checks.
    JQdaBalla checks.
    Renton555 bets [$2].
    teeba420 folds.
    JQdaBalla calls [$2].
    ** Dealing Turn ** [ Qc ]
    JQdaBalla checks.
    Renton555 is all-In [$21.90]
    >You have options at Contender Table!.
    >You have options at Playtime Table!.
    JQdaBalla calls [$21.90].
    ** Dealing River ** [ 7d ]
    JQdaBalla shows [ 9s, 9h ] a pair of nines.
    Renton555 shows [ 9d, 8d ] a flush, nine high.
    Renton555 wins $48.60 from the main pot with a flush, nine high.
    >You have options at Playtime Table!.
  2. #2
    I wouldn't mind getting in a position to push this flop if villian is capable of dumping an overpair, but since that didn't happen, I think you should slow down on the turn.

    Flop play is good. On the turn I would take the free card though. There's a good chance your pair of 8's is still good, plus you stand a pretty good chance of getting paid off if you hit one of your outs. Pushing like you did does have tons of fold equity against a decent player, but if you get called, you are putting in 85% of your stack as a significant underdog, not a situation I like to put myself into.

    Think about this. Assuming your opponent is observant of how you play (which probably is a big assumption), you need to be capable of playing sets, 2-pair, and other monster hands in the same manner.

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