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Do you make this call?

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  1. #1

    Default Do you make this call?

    6+.5 turbo sng at stars. My reads are the guy is semi-aggressive, but prior to this hand I had just bought the last 3-4 pots without showdown. What do you do here?

    PokerStars Game #1557035854: Tournament #7188699, Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2005/04/20 - 21:09:26 (ET)
    Table '7188699 1' Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: bdawg56kg (6095 in chips)
    Seat 5: dauid (7405 in chips)
    bdawg56kg: posts the ante 25
    dauid: posts the ante 25
    bdawg56kg: posts small blind 200
    dauid: posts big blind 400
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to bdawg56kg [3d 4d]
    bdawg56kg: calls 200
    dauid: checks
    *** FLOP *** [6d 5h 5d]
    dauid: checks
    bdawg56kg: bets 800
    dauid: raises 6180 to 6980 and is all-in
    bdawg56kg said, "big hand here"
    bdawg56kg said, "3d4d"
    bdawg56kg: ???
  2. #2
    I would be shocked if he had 65. So you've then got an OESFD to win it. Better than 50% to win. I'm liking the call here either way, unless you're wanting to prolong the process because you think you can beat him through better heads up play.
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  3. #3
    well, he probably has you beat at the moment - but you easily have the better draw (unless he's semi-bluffing w/ Axd... doubtful, I think).

    If you think you're better heads up, probably fold. If you want to get it over with quickly... call.

    You're probably a favorite to win this hand though.
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  4. #4
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    himself fucker.
    Quote Originally Posted by stuck
    well, he probably has you beat at the moment
    Hehehehe. I laughed and probably shouldn't have.

    If you call, it's 50/50 you win the hand and the tourny. If he's a better player, easy call. If you're a better player, lean to fold. If you're about even, call.

    -'rilla
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  5. #5
    Well, I ended up calling. Here's my reasoning. I really thought the guy's check-raise AI was more of a frustration play rather than strength. As I said in the beginning, I took down the last 3-4 pots w/o showdown, and I could "sense" the frustration, as weird as that sounds. That being said, I put him on a couple of overs, w/o even a pair, meaning that I had significantly more outs. I had 3 3's, 3 4's, 4 2's, 4 7's, and 7 remaining diamond, totaling to 21 outs if my read was correct, which would acutally make me the favorite. By the way JGB, I was positive he didn't have 65 or any 5 because this guy is the slowplay master. A few hands before he slowplayed his aces all the way to the river and let my 82o hit a boat to double up on him. So I liked my chances and called. He showed K2o, no diamond, but turn and river were blanks and I lost. Well, at least my read was right!

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