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Draw to nut flush, decent sized stacks

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  1. #1
    Scrimmage's Avatar
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    May 2006
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    Saskatoon, Canada

    Default Draw to nut flush, decent sized stacks

    I figured with the large pot I had good odds to suck out the medium stack with my nut flush draw (roughly 2:1 I believe). How does my play look? Sorry in advance for the hand history - damn iPoker skins.


    - <game gamecode="397126684">
    - <general>
    <startdate>2006-06-02 20:21:43</startdate>
    - <players>
    jamminjimmy chips="$5.85"
    iluzuwin chips="$2.28"
    musum42000" chips="$4.86"
    ScrimmageCN" chips="$5.41"
    abydos" chips="$5.61"
    lgyypjb" chips="$2.89"
    tmahan" chips="$5.34"
    JeremyW57" chips="$2.97"
    wallysuited" chips="$4.71"

    - <round no="0">
    lgyypjb sb="$0.02"
    tmahan bb="$0.04"
    </round>

    Dealt to ScrimmageCN Ah 5h

    - <round no="1">
    "jamminjimmy" calls $0.04

    Iluzuwin raises to $0.08

    musum42000 calls $0.08

    ScrimmageCN calls $0.08

    abydos calls $0.08

    JeremyW57 folds

    wallysuited folds

    lgyypjb raises to $0.2

    tmahan folds

    "jamminjimmy" calls $0.2

    Iluzuwin raises to $0.2

    musum42000 calls $0.2

    ScrimmageCN calls $0.2

    abydos calls $0.2

    </round>
    - <round no="2">

    ****Flop Kc 9h 7h

    lgyypjb bets $0.70
    Bunch of folds
    ScrimmageCN raises to 3$
    lgyypjb is all-in $2.67

    ***Turn 2d

    7c

    Winner is lgyypjb (Pair of Kinds), shows Kd Ac
  2. #2
    flush draw is 3.7-to-1 to hit so 2-to-1 on your money is a losing preposition...unelss you have fold equity.Since villain is shortstacked they're liekly to call anywaysWOuld I push?Probably.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by WhooFleuryScores
    flush draw is 3.7-to-1 to hit so 2-to-1 on your money is a losing preposition...unelss you have fold equity.Since villain is shortstacked they're liekly to call anywaysWOuld I push?Probably.
    This seems to be 5NL so Villain isn't really shortstacked. He's the equivalent of a $30 stack at 50NL.

    I personally don't like the push. Lay it down and wait for a better spot. It's pretty obvious you're gonna get called so without fold equity this is -EV play.
  4. #4
    It's pretty obvious you're gonna get called so without fold equity this is -EV play.
    That was my original fear with hero-if villain can't laydwon TP our hero is in trouble.

    Oh well.Always another round of PR reloads.
  5. #5
    Ofcourse he's not gonna lay down TP. He's probably even calling with middle pair. Hell, I'd call this with TP too.. noone is pushing there with a made hand most of the time, it's almost always a draw or speculative hand.

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