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Folding KK preflop?...
Ok this hand has been bugging me for a while, and I can't seem to come up with a satisfactory answer so please, give your opinions. It's in a $1-$2 live game, 10 players, hero is in BB with KK. There are five limpers, so I bump it up to $20 and the first limper re-raises me to $80 total. He has just over $500 and i have him covered. I've played a lot with this guy and we both have a pretty damn good idea of how each other plays, I have a reputation for being tight-aggressive, he also jokes and tells everyone every night that I can never lose. I've taken $1000's off this guy in the past, so he's always weary when in a pot with me. Also note that in THIS PARTICULAR casino, when someone limp-re-raises, they invariably have AA or KK. I have never seen anyone make this move with anything less.
Ok, back to the hand. Everyone folds and it's back to me - $60 to call with about $420 behind. As I mentioned before, against most people, their range is AA/KK 100% of the time, but with villain, maybe 80%. He likes to try moves and he wants my chips more than anyone's. My options are to fold or re-raise as i don't have odds to call for a set if he has AA. I figure that of the 2/10 instances that he doesn't have AA, i'm going to win $169 100% of the time, as I'm always going to re-raise and he's obviously going to fold cos he was making a move. Of the 8/10 instances he does have AA, my equity is terrible, it's probably going to get all in for a $1000 pot, which I'll lose 7 in 8 times, giving me an expectation of -$875. Even if I re-raise to say, $200 and manage to get away from it when he moves in, i stand to lose that $269 80% of the time, for an expectation of -$215. So after all this thought, and running through the math roughly in my head, i finally fold my KK. Obviously if I was sat there with 100BB's i wouldn't think and just shove, but we were 250BB's deep so things were a bit more complicated. Any thoughts?
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