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made good sense. thanks for explaining.
now for a new "problem" to think on, if i may:
this came up today, and its not nearly as sophisticated as yours, but all the same i want to know how to figure it out, if possible.
most villains, at my tables 25NL, will call 3bets somewhat lighter than they should, but rarely will they call the shove w/o the standard range (KK+/AK, maybe a bit of QQ).
i hold KK oop. villain raises 4X ($1) from mp, i RR from sb to about $5, knowing only KK+ shoves over from this TAG. so, i can safely drop my KK, but i dont because i know theres a random chance he opens up on occasion. of course, he had it. but, how sure do i have to be to drop KK, as its a significant dog to AA? wheres my breakeven point? out of other regs, the more LAGgy ones, i can never really be sure enough to fold KK, but against this TAG, i was pretty much 99% sure. was that enough?
and, how do i figure the "maths?"
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