how is this

villain is a 12/10/2.6 half stacker over 1.1k hands, 70% c-bet. preflop is kinda meh i know

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($117.90)
BB ($156.40)
UTG ($50)
UTG+1 ($427.50)
MP1 ($70.60)
Hero (MP2) ($106.30)
MP3 ($52.20)
CO ($149.90)
Button ($103.20)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 6, 6
UTG bets $4, 2 folds, Hero calls $4, 5 folds

Flop: ($9.50) 7, 5, 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $8, Hero raises to $22

I don't hate it but it's not great. I'd just call and probably fold turn considering he's unlikely to get committed without a pair on the turn. Also he's utg so he's repping strength. As you said, pre is pretty bad unless blinds are fishy.

because he's 1/2 stack he will shove qq-aa for value (and sets if he has them) and probably call,check/call JJ and maybe TT for bluff catch, only fold 88-99 usually.

The semibluff bluff needs to work 56% of the time based on FE alone. If his preflop range is 55+, AQ+ you fold out 32 combos of ovecards and 49 combos of pairs/sets/SDs stay in, which is 40% of his range, plus our 36% equity when called, so this is a +EV bluff.

this is bad vs half stack UTG opener. If you dont feel comfortable stacking off on the flop, then you should not raise and bloat the pot in position. Just call and see his turn action.

fold preflop, as played call, with only 50 bbs i doubt he'll fold an overpair.

just call, we can show this down if he's not too interested
and if he has us crushed we can suck out

w/e it can't be that bad

Originally Posted by Illfavor

The semibluff bluff needs to work 56% of the time based on FE alone. If his preflop range is 55+, AQ+ you fold out 32 combos of ovecards and 49 combos of pairs/sets/SDs stay in, which is 40% of his range, plus our 36% equity when called, so this is a +EV bluff.

This is assuming a 100% cbet though, which is a bad assumption.

Originally Posted by jessyj

Originally Posted by Illfavor

The semibluff bluff needs to work 56% of the time based on FE alone. If his preflop range is 55+, AQ+ you fold out 32 combos of ovecards and 49 combos of pairs/sets/SDs stay in, which is 40% of his range, plus our 36% equity when called, so this is a +EV bluff.

This is assuming a 100% cbet though, which is a bad assumption.

His EP range is stronger and probably more likely to be cbet. If you don't think he cbets any non-pair hands then obviously just call, but if you leave out AQ of his cbetting range this is still a +EV bluff. You would have to assume he c/f all overs here for the bluff to be bad.

I agree his cbet is going to be higher from utg but not 100%.

Originally Posted by jessyj

I agree his cbet is going to be higher from utg but not 100%.

Alright well we only need his cbet range to be >20% air here to bluff raise profitably.

Originally Posted by Illfavor

Originally Posted by jessyj

I agree his cbet is going to be higher from utg but not 100%.

Alright well we only need his cbet range to be >20% air here to bluff raise profitably.

not if he sticks it in here with hands that beat us