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 Originally Posted by DimitriT
I'll play AXs from the button and the button-1 if there are folds to me.
I'll then try to buy the button with a 3xBB and attack the blinds from there.
I don't play for the flush value unless there are 3 plrs limping ahead of me. This means if there are 1 or 2 plrs limping, I fold AXs. Obviously, I fold AXs to any PFRs.
Flopping a full flush is something like a 15 to 1 long shot. Flopping a 4-flush is like 5 to 1. (I have to check my odds, I might be way off) and then you have a 3 to 1 draw. To get paid on flush value your need to
extract at least $20 from pot for each flush you see. Not easy against
one or two TAG plrs. Your odds of making the flush draw + A over are
a 12 outer which is like 45% from the flop.
Having said all that, I'll break my own rules and play them out of position
- usually its a leak.
Ouch math. The truth is if you're a good enough postflop player you can make up a lot of that ground by strongarming weakness on any board that pops. So if you figure out of 24 flops holding Axs, you're going to get 1 nut flush. You can steal at least 4 of the remaining pots, and another 1 or 2 will have a flopped ace which you can also add.
My math is terrible, but 7 pots out of 24 ain't that bad.
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