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I have the odds to chase here?

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  1. #1

    Default I have the odds to chase here?

    This guy never raises preflop so I put him on an over pair despite him seeing alot of flops. I took feeble stabs on the turn and river. I'm sure somebody can point out how to play this better. A T,7 or 5 wins it for me.

    ***** Hand History for Game 2982875301 *****
    $25 NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, November 04, 23:54:57 EDT 2005
    Table Table 65730 (Real Money)
    Seat 5 is the button
    Total number of players : 10
    Seat 3: TheSeeker03 ( $26.10 )
    Seat 5: tassds70503 ( $18.19 )
    Seat 9: mistergrinch ( $60.18 )
    Seat 10: jandje ( $63.21 )
    Seat 8: Tahoe4Me2 ( $13.50 )
    Seat 2: blackworm ( $24.10 )
    Seat 1: Wahoo2006 ( $29.45 )
    Seat 6: RxPat06 ( $30.47 )
    Seat 7: PSH371 ( $28.30 )
    Seat 4: Dtiger001 ( $25 )
    RxPat06 posts small blind [$0.10].
    PSH371 posts big blind [$0.25].
    Dtiger001 posts big blind [$0.25].
    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to jandje [ 7d 7c ]
    Tahoe4Me2 calls [$0.25].
    jandje calls [$0.25].
    Wahoo2006 raises [$2].
    blackworm folds.
    TheSeeker03 folds.
    Dtiger001 folds.
    tassds70503 folds.
    RxPat06 calls [$1.90].
    PSH371 folds.
    Tahoe4Me2 calls [$1.75].
    jandje calls [$1.75].
    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 8s, 9h, 6c ]
    RxPat06 checks.
    Tahoe4Me2 checks.
    jandje checks.
    Wahoo2006 bets [$5].
    RxPat06 folds.
    Tahoe4Me2 folds.
    jandje calls [$5].
    ** Dealing Turn ** [ Jc ]
    jandje bets [$5].
    Wahoo2006 calls [$5].
    ** Dealing River ** [ Jd ]
    jandje bets [$5].
    Wahoo2006 calls [$5].
    jandje shows [ 7d, 7c ] two pairs, jacks and sevens.
    Wahoo2006 shows [ Kd, Kh ] two pairs, kings and jacks.
    Wahoo2006 wins $36.60 from the main pot with two pairs, kings and jacks.
  2. #2
    Ni Han.
  3. #3
    I don't like playing these. I feel like you were lucky he didn't raise.

    After a raise I probably push if there's any chance he'll lay down.
  4. #4
    I just realized something - this is Greedo!!! Too funny. Well, I'm glad I donated my chips to another FTR member on this hand.
  5. #5
    Check/raise the flop BIG. He'll lay it down.
  6. #6
    Greedo017's Avatar
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    Default Re: I have the odds to chase here?

    Quote Originally Posted by r8ed
    This guy never raises preflop so I put him on an over pair despite him seeing alot of flops.
    I am 14/7 in 25nl.

    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
    Check/raise the flop BIG. He'll lay it down.
    You're right, I would. The question is, should I?
    i betcha that i got something you ain't got, that's called courage, it don't come from no liquor bottle, it ain't scotch
  7. #7

    Default Re: I have the odds to chase here?

    Quote Originally Posted by Greedo017
    You're right, I would. The question is, should I?
    It depends.
  8. #8
    Greedo017's Avatar
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    good answer. I'm not too worried about how I play overpairs, i don't lay them down often, and i don't get destacked with them often. its always troubling to have an overpair, play it strong, and get played back at by a tag, because there's no reason for me to think jandje doesn't put me on an overpair.

    so, let's say this hand happened that way. I bet it this way, jandje raised me on the flop to 13. i know him as a tag. your move? i think that's pretty much a situation where there is no good answer. btw, I was betting hard here because the table was really loose and i was expecting many calls.
    i betcha that i got something you ain't got, that's called courage, it don't come from no liquor bottle, it ain't scotch
  9. #9

    Default Re: I have the odds to chase here?

    Quote Originally Posted by Greedo017
    Quote Originally Posted by r8ed
    This guy never raises preflop so I put him on an over pair despite him seeing alot of flops.
    I am 14/7 in 25nl.

    You're right, I would. The question is, should I?
    The limited hands I have against you show that you were limping many hands but not raising preflop - probably because the table was loose aggressive.

    If I had KK and somebody bet that flop big, I would push. There's no way they have a straight. I figured you had QQ or higher and wouldn't lay down to a bluff so I tried to stay in to hit my hand. I'm just wondering what you were thinking when I led out $5 after check-calling the flop. It would be good to know if that bet made you think at all. Same with the river.
  10. #10
    Greedo017's Avatar
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    the reason i mention i was 14/7, is because i only played 28 hands in that room, and i ended 17/8, so just saying maybe wait until you get a few more hands before you put any weight in them.

    well, its tough to say what i'd do if you did bluff. i call 50/50, but here i probably would've folded. which is why i'm glad you didn't bluff.

    with your turn bet, i thought you were either trying to get me to raise and be pot committed, or trying to control the pot size. I was happy just calling. after you bet just 5 on the river, i was pretty sure I had you beat as I think you bet more with a set and the like, but i figured a raise was a losing proposition because you'd fold junk and push with a better hand. its also hard to judge whether I should've raised the river without being results oriented.

    As far as what I think of your play knowing your hand, I think its fine because you had odds the whole way. It was on me to reraise, and looking back I should've at least minraised. I would say though, in a case like this you gotta make sure you have your odds, because if you don't think i will fold to a bluff, why would I call a big bet when your scary outs hits.
    i betcha that i got something you ain't got, that's called courage, it don't come from no liquor bottle, it ain't scotch
  11. #11
    Anything I'm doing wrong in the calculation here?
    This is just for the flop call obviously, which it appears that you did not have odds - on the turn, you bet, so it's fine then - even if the bet to you was $5 you're good.

    10 outs (4 Ts, 4 5s, 2 7s) / Bet: $5 / Pot: $13

    21.3% chance to turn an out

    To justify calling $5:
    the pot must be $18.5

    For a pot of $13:
    the max you can call is $3.51
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by DaHorror
    Anything I'm doing wrong in the calculation here?
    This is just for the flop call obviously, which it appears that you did not have odds - on the turn, you bet, so it's fine then - even if the bet to you was $5 you're good.

    10 outs (4 Ts, 4 5s, 2 7s) / Bet: $5 / Pot: $13

    21.3% chance to turn an out

    To justify calling $5:
    the pot must be $18.5

    For a pot of $13:
    the max you can call is $3.51
    Don't implied odds justify the call?

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