Quote Originally Posted by dpe8598
Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote Originally Posted by dpe8598
A set is the biggest possibility, but if he has a set, why isn't he check-raising flop.
He wants to 3-bet bomb when worse hands (particularly draws) raise. A check/raise won't shut them out this deep. Also, he wants to keep 1 pair and AK hands calling him down.
Great! Then I want to raise and fold to his 3-bet. However, I think when people lead out this way (when they were not the original preflop aggressor) on a draw heavy board that they more frequently have a draw than a set.

Poker is all about determing players most likely holding. IMO, this flop bet most likely means he has a draw, but could have a set. In your opinion, villain usually has a set here. No way to know for sure.
This could also very easily be AA/QQ. Like I said earlier if you can't even put villain on QQ here then how could you put him on something like KQ/AJ? I think villain's range here could be JJ+ (Maybe TT also)/AK/Maybe AQ/KQ, and I mean maybe for those last two. I think I'm behind to the majority of his likely holdings.