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  1. #1
    rong's Avatar
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    Nov 2008
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    behind you with an axe
    I'd fold. If he does have a general tendency to spaz like this with draws or mid pairs, you'll find out soon enough and can milk it from them on. But he may just do this with the nuts hoping someone will call him light. Wait for someone else to call and give you the info for cheap.
    I'm the king of bongo, baby I'm the king of bongo bong.
  2. #2
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    Are those stats biased by short-handedness = have you got your hud set up so that it only displays stats from hands with >6 players once you're 9-handed? this is pretty important in this spot.

    I think that villain's 7% 3b combined with an opener having a very high fold to 3b is important here - surely he'll squeeze TT-QQ a non-zero amount = i discount these hands some. vs the nut flush draw you are about 60%. Shove would be pretty stupid with 88/TT with that many players in, and i don't think you can be confident that he's that stupid.

    I like a fold cos we both know i'm a nit, although that is complicated by the fact that i'm a station, so maybe in game i'd call. It's close.

    Board: 9s 4s 4h
    Dead:

    Hand 0: 58.400% 58.40% 00.00% 10985 0.00 { QcQs, QhQs, JdJh, JhJs, TcTs, TdTs, 99, 44, AsQs, AsJs, A4s, As3s, 64s, 54s}

    Hand 1: 41.600% 41.60% 00.00% 7825 0.00 { KcKh }

    edit: what's with your sizing in the first hand? like, you never really have a nut hand when you do this on this board.
    Last edited by daven; 03-17-2011 at 07:15 PM.

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