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 Re: Limped pot, middle set on monotone
 Originally Posted by Muzzard
Relative unknowns, meh?
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ( $22.15)
UTG 1 ( $54.10)
MP1 ($25.00)
Hero ($49.75)
MP3 ( $52.15)
CO ( $91.40)
BTN ( $49.25)
SB ($51.55)
BB ($85.10)
[MP1 posted $0.5]
Pre-flop: ( $1.25, 9 players) Hero is MP2  
2 folds, MP1 checks, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB checks
Flop:    ( $2, 4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $2, MP1 calls $2, Hero raises to $7.75, SB folds, BB calls $5.75, MP1 goes all-in $24.50, $16.75 to Hero ($41.5)?
MP1 posts: so he's not that good!
BB: might have Ksx/set/flush
Let's first forget about BB (we'll examine it later).
Against only MP1: you'll need to call about $15 to a $44.5 pot. So that's about 3-1 where you need to have 25% of equity. Even if he has the flush you have at least 30% vs his flush.
Including BB: However, here we need to push to remove odds from BB (in the case he has Ksx). BB will not have AA often here. So in terms of sets he can only reasonably have 22 here. So it's either 22/flush/Kxs.
The odds to hit flush on the FLOP are around 118 - 1. So I put his range much more on 22 or Ksx on which our equity is huge! Even if BB has the flush we would be putting $41.5 to win $86 ($44.5 + $41.5), which is about 2.1 - 1 = about 31-2%
Conclusion: Without reads, I push over MP1 push.
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