|
 Originally Posted by Zangief
 Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
 Originally Posted by DimitriT
It was a god call right up to the river, when it turned into a very bad call.
If you had just checked and folded or at least checked and called the river, you would have played it very well.
It's too bad the As showed (probably gave you a sense that you weren't up against AXs). But a check is definitely the right play there.
Can he fold the river against action that it either a flush or a bluff? It comes down to the op. If its 50/50 between flush and bluff, you gotta fold.
-'rilla
Seems like if it's 50/50 between flush and bluff, you have to call. With $140 in the pot after his opponent's bet and $44 to call, if the odds of a bluff are above about 1-in-3, this should be +EV. Unless I'm missing something?
You're forgetting something. If he's bluffing its only a split pot.. he doesnt win. So assuming he already has half his chips in the pot (which seems to be the case) then:
The guy is bluffing: He wins net 0$
The guy has the flush: He loses x$ + amount he already has in the pot where x$ is the amount of dollars bet by the guy.
Or he folds: He loses half of what the pot is currently at.
The guy bet 44$, and the pot stood at about 90$ i think (i might be wrong on that), so lets say thats roughly close to half the amount the guy bet.
So he wins 0$ if he calls the bluff, loses 90$ net if he calls a flush.
If he folds he loses 45$ net.
So its worth a call if you think there's over a 50% chance of the guy bluffing.
|