Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumFull Ring NL Hold'em

OMG what are the chances? Number guru's?

Results 1 to 7 of 7
  1. #1

    Default OMG what are the chances? Number guru's?

    First hand I played at the table and posted the BB. Unbelievable!!

    Game #505757949 - (blinds $0.10/$0.25) No Limit Texas Hold'em -
    2004/05/20-22:20:28 (CST)
    Table "Narrowneck" (real money) -- Seat 8 is the button
    Seat 1: Spongebob420 ($18.10 in chips)
    Seat 2: AndyS ($15.13 in chips)
    Seat 3: bozzmrx ($24.55 in chips)
    Seat 4: blubufalo ($39.10 in chips)
    Seat 5: Thingol ($20.60 in chips)
    Seat 6: TwoFist ($32.70 in chips)
    Seat 7: scgolfer ($25.00 in chips)
    Seat 8: PAPATJ ($21.75 in chips)
    Seat 9: fauxpawz ($6.10 in chips)
    Seat 10: eret796 ($58.05 in chips)
    fauxpawz: Post Small Blind ($0.10)
    eret796 : Post Big Blind ($0.25)
    scgolfer: Post ($0.25)
    Dealing...
    Dealt to scgolfer [ 7c ]
    Dealt to scgolfer [ 2c ]
    Spongebob420: Fold
    AndyS : Fold
    bozzmrx : Call ($0.25)
    blubufalo: Call ($0.25)
    Thingol : Call ($0.25)
    TwoFist : Fold
    scgolfer: Check
    PAPATJ : Call ($0.25)
    fauxpawz: Fold
    eret796 : Check
    *** FLOP *** : [ 2s 7d 7h ]
    eret796 : Check
    bozzmrx : Check
    blubufalo: Check
    Thingol : Check
    scgolfer: Check
    PAPATJ : Check
    *** TURN *** : [ 2s 7d 7h ] [ 3d ]
    eret796 : Check
    bozzmrx : Check
    blubufalo: Check
    Thingol : Check
    scgolfer: Bet ($1)
    PAPATJ : Fold
    eret796 : Call ($1)
    bozzmrx : Fold
    blubufalo: Fold
    Thingol : Fold
    *** RIVER *** : [ 2s 7d 7h 3d ] [ 4d ]
    eret796 : Bet ($2.40)
    scgolfer: Raise ($4.80)
    eret796 : Raise ($9)
    scgolfer: Raise ($18.95)
    eret796 : Call ($12.35)
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Pot: $48.60 | Rake: $2.50
    Board: [ 2s 7d 7h 3d 4d ]
    Spongebob420 didn't bet (folded)
    AndyS didn't bet (folded)
    bozzmrx lost $0.25 (folded)
    blubufalo lost $0.25 (folded)
    Thingol lost $0.25 (folded)
    TwoFist didn't bet (folded)
    scgolfer bet $25, collected $24.30, net -$0.70 (showed hand) [ 7c 2c ] (a full
    house, sevens full of twos)
    PAPATJ lost $0.25 (folded)
    fauxpawz lost $0.10 (folded)
    eret796 bet $25, collected $24.30, net -$0.70 (showed hand) [ 2d 7s ] (a full
    house, sevens full of twos)
    Holy crap I cant play against Yoda!!
  2. #2
    I believe theres one person here who has the exact odds for that scenario in his signature. I forget who it is though.
  3. #3
    it was me but that was 7,2 flopping 222 at 19,600 : 1

    this situation I think is as follows :

    Odds of someone having the same hand as you 271:1 (Heads up this reduces for each player extra) 10 players brings this to 26:1.

    Odds of flopping 277 with you and the other dude's holdings.

    29,400 : 1

    For the whole scenario from start to finish I'm not sure and wouldn't like to guess.

    The odds of two people specifically being dealt a pre-determined hand are 48,840 : 1

    (4/50)*(3/49)*(4/48)*(3/47) This is for two people, for each player added you would multiply the result, i.e. 10 players result * 9. I'm not sure about this either but its the best i can come up with and I'm sure at best it would only be a rough answer.


    I think this is close but I'm not 100%



    Please don't flame me for any inaccuraces but please feel free to point out the error of my ways :)
    Poker is all about the long long long long long long long term . . .
    Barney's back . . . back again . . .
  4. #4
    I guess I should have raised like like Ripptyde would have, and scared the other guy off, at least mine was suited. hehe
    Holy crap I cant play against Yoda!!
  5. #5
    Guest
    {This post has been removed}
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Ripptyde
    Man I'm gettin a bad rap around here...LoL

    WWRD

    = ALL IN !!
    Just like Gus Hansen
    Some days even my lucky rocket ship underpants won't help.
    -- Calvin and Hobbes
  7. #7
    Hey SCGolfer we were in a $20 + $2 at PP (or a PPskin) the w/e. We came 1st and second, I was the chip leader but you came back to win it. You let me give you my money, when i was betting bottom pair at you,(you were sitting on a K for top pair )

    My cards were kind of cold from there, but it was a well deserved win, you had played pretty solid all game. I think i made notes on you

    If I see you again i may or may not introduce myself, the only adv i'll have from not is avoiding the pots you are in

    O yeah Congrats on the FTR championship.
    Poker is all about the long long long long long long long term . . .
    Barney's back . . . back again . . .

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •