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Overpair or overset?

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  1. #1

    Default Overpair or overset?

    CO is very tight and I put him on a high pocket pair. Unfortunately I don't have a read on UTG, which is a problem. What's your play here?

    Party Poker
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
    8 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $53.85
    UTG+1: $40.15
    MP1: $19.87
    MP2: $49.50
    CO: $52.73
    zook: $80.91
    SB: $55.40
    BB: $43

    Pre-flop: (8 players) zook is Button with 5 5
    UTG calls, 3 folds, CO raises to $2, zook calls, 2 folds, UTG calls.

    Flop: 9 5 7 ($6.75, 3 players)
    UTG checks, CO bets $3.5, zook raises to $7, UTG raises to $14, CO calls, zook ???
  2. #2
    Renton's Avatar
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    Minraising is usually a very weak play when the pot is small.

    I wouldn't even think about folding this hand. You are very possibly behind, but without a read on UTG I would call here and play it all the way to the river.
  3. #3
    Push
  4. #4
    It is damn near impossible to tell (and definitely is in this case). That's why you just have to run with it. He could have limped Aces, have an overpair TT-QQ, or he could have 99 or 77 - you'll just have to pay him off in that case.

    Now - if you had raised to $10-12 on the flop, and had then been reraised allin or something, you MIGHT be able to get away from it...even then, I don't think I've read of but one case of someone folding set over set around here, and it wasn't in a case like this.
    I know I never have and I just live with it...
  5. #5
    AI
  6. #6
    Thanks for the reassurance. I pushed, both called, UTG showed 99 and CO showed AA. I sat out a hand and rebought in full.
  7. #7
    I doubt UTG has AA here, since he limp-called preflop. Unless he's a donk who would either check raise two guys showing strength with a worse overpair or limp a hand like 86 or 95, then it's hard to put him on anything other than a set here. I'd still push unless my read was very strong that he wasn't a donk.
    Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.

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