|
Overthinking a simple hand?
V is the same in both hands. Hand 2 came immediately after hand 1 which is why I'm just overthinking it. Hand 1 is simply for reference, no questions on it. I have about 2500 hands and he is 16/7. 3bet 2.5%, aggression 2.2%. Both hands are pretty basic, just tell me to fold the flop on hand 2 and I'll be over it.
Additional background - the table had a few pretty bad players so I had been fairly active on this table, but overall if V pays any attention he knows I'm pretty tight. Also I know the call w/99 is marginal at best in hand 1, but I expected some other flatters and no one had been 3betting much.
Hand #1
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($24)
UTG ($117.85)
UTG+1 ($36.65)
MP1 ($100)
Hero (MP2) ($129.50)
CO ($100)
Button ($117.20)
SB ($109.30)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9 , 9
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, Button calls $3, SB raises to $15, 3 folds, Button calls $12
Flop: ($37) 5 , 10 , 8 (2 players)
SB bets $15, 1 fold
Total pot: $37 | Rake: $1.85
Hand #2
It almost just seemed like he was trying to just push around the table a little, although I know with his stats he shouldn't generally be doing that. So my mistakes are either calling the flop or not calling the turn.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($23)
BB ($117.85)
UTG ($33.65)
UTG+1 ($100)
Hero (MP1) ($126.50)
MP2 ($100)
CO ($102.20)
Button ($129.45)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J , J
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, MP2 calls $4, 1 fold, Button calls $4, 2 folds
Flop: ($13.50) 6 , 2 , 10 (3 players)
Hero bets $9, 1 fold, Button raises to $26, Hero calls $17
Turn: ($65.50) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $99.45 (All-In), Hero...
His overbet on the turn either looks like he doesn't want a call, or he wants me to think he doesn't want a call. 
Here's the range I stoved for him in reviewing the hand. I'm obviously way behind this range, so does this seem right? (the 7s on the turn doesn't really change much)
Board: 6c Ts 2c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.674% 35.67% 00.00% 6004 0.00 { JcJh }
Hand 1: 64.326% 64.33% 00.00% 10826 0.00 { TT, 66, 22, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, ATs, KcQc, Tc9c, Th9h, Ts9s }
|