Quote Originally Posted by Lukie
I felt my line gave me the chance to win the most when I was ahead, and lose the least when I was behind while still getting to showdown.
While this might be true, I think you will lose more while behind than you will win while ahead by going to showdown.

A new question: if you think this guy is capable of putting you on 55 and folding AK at some point here, should you really hunt that set against him in the first place? If he might not stack off with top two, what will he stack off with that he raised in the blinds?

I'm gonna make a restatement: I think a raise or a fold at some point is in order here.

On the river I think fold>call>raise. After the river bet we have his range at AA/KK/JJ/AK, right? A raise is just stupid because it can only lose you money because he folds AK (except AhKh of course) and pushes/calls the rest. Pot odds says he has to have AK about 30% of the time here to make the call, right? From your description it sounds like he doesn't. So I think a fold very well might be our best option here.

Renton: I think this hand differs a lot from your thread in that the likelyhood of him having air on the river is big enough (I presume?) to make the call.