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Let me begin by saying I'm a rank beginner, so I might be hugely off base here, but I don't understand why his bet screams draw here. If you were in the BB and had pocket 7s or 6s, and you knew the button raiser was the table bully, wouldn't you play exactly the same way preflop hoping to cash on his overaggression if you hit your set? Also, if this guy is weak/passive, why do you think he would all of a sudden agg up with a spade draw here? Of course, it is possible that he has a lower ace or suited paint, or even the OESD/flush draw proposed above, and in the first case you're a 65/35 favorite and in the second you're a slight dog. Having been on both sides of the bully dichotomy, I am always very wary (and conversely very eager when bullied) of calling a huge checkraise from a weak/tight -- especially when I have been seen calling down big raises with moderate/strong holdings -- unless I have a really strong hand. As the bully, you are the prime target of everyone at the table. Although this might mean people are more likely to bluff at you, they are also much more likely to camp and take you down for a huge pot with the nuts. I think a big part of sucessfully playing the bully is to recognize both possibilities, and to make exactly this kind of laydown in marginal situations, especially when it's the first big show of aggression by another player at the table. You pick up enough small pots that you can afford to pay off a bluff/semi-bluff here anyway.
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