Quote Originally Posted by dpe8598
I admit that w/ rake this puts you at about even. However, I just demonstrated that you can get a positive EV play by pushing w/ a strong draw even when you underestimate his fold percentage. Overall, if you are above 50% and you think there is any chance at all that he might fold, you are +EV to push. Lets not also forget what moves like this do for your image and how much they increase your action on strong hands.
Basically, I did all the math too and such, but in practice I simply lost a lot less money when I played them calmer rather than push. So I don't contest it's not +EV, but it's only slightly so and has high variance. The other option is higher +EV and less variance (since I take a look first whether I hit or not before investing more), or so I learned in practice.