Quote Originally Posted by jackvance
Quote Originally Posted by dpe8598
I admit that w/ rake this puts you at about even. However, I just demonstrated that you can get a positive EV play by pushing w/ a strong draw even when you underestimate his fold percentage. Overall, if you are above 50% and you think there is any chance at all that he might fold, you are +EV to push. Lets not also forget what moves like this do for your image and how much they increase your action on strong hands.
Basically, I did all the math too and such, but in practice I simply lost a lot less money when I played them calmer rather than push. So I don't contest it's not +EV, but it's only slightly so and has high variance. The other option is higher +EV and less variance (since I take a look first whether I hit or not before investing more), or so I learned in practice.
that is weak tight.

Weak tight = scared to put money into the pot without a very strong hand = waiting to see if you hit first.

Remember that your opponent is just as scared of variance and putting his chips into the pot in a marginal situation as you are. He doesn't know you're a 52% favorite. For all he knows you could have a set and he's a 10-90 underdog. Don't be afraid of variance. I don't like variance either, but the fact I can handle it better and cope with more of it than my opponents means variance is my friend.

I'm not saying weak tight can't make money, because it can. You can crush up to 25NL playing weak tight.